TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37d8…b6dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
377
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST11548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$274.37
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$879.51
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$2,711.91
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,897
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+115%+$3,796.37
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,826.85
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,115.21
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,220
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,123
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,222.22
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+175.7%+$1,756.76
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+159.6%+$1,542.92
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$3,370.97
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$960
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$2,974.27
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$487
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$3,000
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,437Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+79.2%+$1,138.45
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,300
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,481.22
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,995Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$2,892.93
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$417.74
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,076.92
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+242.6%+$1,455.55
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+313.9%+$3,139.3
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$1,001.6
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+91.1%+$911.32
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$928.57
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$579
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,884.62
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+70.7%+$1,908.12
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+79.9%+$2,398.03
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST5731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$362
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,104.8
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Wydad AC beat Al Ain? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,276.85
Will PSG beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$213
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Mamelodi Sundowns beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+167.4%+$660.75
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$65.32
Will FC Porto beat Palmeiras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$533.93
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,500
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$9,585.11
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,397
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,100
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,800
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$388
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,598
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,076
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$800
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,240.43
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$888.75
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$394.78
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$900
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$546.94
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$1,412.06
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$805.44
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$726
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,050
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$280.75
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,300
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$1,615.84
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$917
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,750
Capitals vs. Jetsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,400
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$1,050.38
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+49.1%+$982.55
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+50%+$649.48
Flyers vs. Blackhawksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$775.8
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+93.8%+$1,407.35
Flyers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
Sabres vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$833.9
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT2718.5%5 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-61%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+203%+$7,512.12
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$1,055.18
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,300
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,480
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,680
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$796
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,500
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will FCSB win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will AS Roma win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+157.9%+$1,578.55
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,200
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Ajax win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Ajax Amsterdam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,007Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+61.1%+$1,837.92
Will Bodo Glimt beat Nice?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,030
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.29
Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$963.64
Will Serbia beat Albania?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$318.45
Will Italy beat Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Ecuador beat Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,560
Will Venezuela beat Peru?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+103.7%+$2,231.61
Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,197
Will Argentina beat Uruguaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+182.2%+$4,554.03
Will Ecuador beat Venezuela?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$786.42
Will Albania beat Englandbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Will Brazil beat Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$1,368.69
Will Germany beat Italybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+168%+$2,520.4
Will France beat Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Tigersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,700
Cubs vs. Nationalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$2,432.2
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,400
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,900
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,000
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,000
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$5,741.24
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Red Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,250
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+144.8%+$1,448.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$390.28
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$383.02
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11,512.48
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$3,547.17
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-64.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santos vs. Tatebacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$464
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Bradybacked Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+76.8%+$921.43
Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin Hollandbacked Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Marcin Tybura vs. Mick Parkinbacked Parkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,200
All 5 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+86%+$5,531.07
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,688
Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$797.84
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,040
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Seattle Sounders beat Atlanta United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$525.71
MLS: Will Columbus beat Orlando City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$808.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$657.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$435.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Beterbiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.