Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f58eaa368f1ecc671a78d594be31355147fe26c8e15ccc282de8103072f3263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 38c | 12,828$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 62c | 10,684$6,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 62c | 10,412$6,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.14 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 37c | 8,557$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 37c | 6,615$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 63c | 6,027$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.03 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 64c | 4,968$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.61 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 2,240$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.4 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked No | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 37c | 994.07$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…019dbacked No | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 50c | 608.57$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…f8eebacked Yes | 35c | 575$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 562.86$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1de…9165backed No | 65c | 560$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef6…dc43backed No | 65c | 420$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…f555backed No | 64c | 419.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb134…3e8abacked Yes | 24c | 385$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…3a3abacked Yes | 36c | 380$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 62c | 379.69$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…241cbacked Yes | 36c | 320$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…4f30backed No | 65c | 305$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…536dbacked Yes | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…db80backed Yes | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…40fabacked Yes | 24c | 255$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…23efbacked Yes | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f5…2306backed Yes | 35c | 225$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…16e0backed No | 64c | 210$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 36c | 205.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 35c | 190.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked No | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 54c | 180.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…253bbacked No | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 63c | 178.39$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…865bbacked Yes | 35c | 175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 64c | 168$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…7a40backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 32c | 151$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769e…5d96backed No | 65c | 145$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb8…9082backed Yes | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…be4abacked Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…86d8backed Yes | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c68…34c6backed Yes | 24c | 129.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…7f60backed No | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…3c06backed No | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…1bafbacked Yes | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…6dd1backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 58c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…8b05backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…b4d1backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbc…1054backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…6f95backed No | 75c | 66.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…2aa7backed No | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…52ddbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…d4c1backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…a5b0backed No | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…bba0backed No | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…2a06backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Yes | 38c | 46.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…3505backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…9296backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…bd38backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…57eabacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…a102backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…9b50backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 65c | 24.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…601fbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…9e12backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…8946backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?this page
- Will Bolivia beat Uruguay?No won
- Will Bolivia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.