TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f79…1608

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT7447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,705.1
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,570.16
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900.02
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,457.7
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,018.66
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.48
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,939Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,017.93
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,049.53
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$19.4
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,897Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,939.69
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.37
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$485
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,455.05
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.05
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$272.95
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$204.71
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,241.23
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,182.5
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,668.45
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.99
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,338.22
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,455
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,970Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+89%+$3,531.94
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT4763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$543.1
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$2,009.98
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,480
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,048Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$4,053.8
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,278.67
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$166.78
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.35
Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,040.82
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,241.23
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.04
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,208.03
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,508.77
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$2,940
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$4,323.53
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20,119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12,330.94
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,417Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$7,719.95
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,800
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$757.65
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,739Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$936.25
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18,517Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$11,678.85
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,836Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$3,360.38
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,819.04
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,616.22
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,933.95
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,705Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$5,557.08
Wuning 2: Blake Ellis vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,518.33
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Moerani Bouzige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,194.01
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,270.49
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,856.42
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,924.48
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+77%+$4,350
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23,055Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6,502.83
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19,719Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$6,741.44
Oeiras 3: Moez Echargui vs Chris Rodeschbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,782Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,854.99
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Toby Samuelbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.32
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.68
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullinbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16,654Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$7,639.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,451Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$2,534.78
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.79
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22,054Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$6,645.5
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Asschebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$121.87
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.52
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$5,144.75
Barletta: Lukas Neumayer vs Toby Samuelbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$147.29
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13,065Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$4,892.11
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,211.64
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,102.58
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,933.4
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860.1
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,422Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$2,624.33
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$870.3
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,026.29
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$806.07
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$665.67
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,449
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,434Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,912.43
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.45
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$274.14
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$522.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$535.3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,908Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,004.83
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,508.94
Tigers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,230
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,150
San Diego Padres vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$2,150
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,566Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$4,554
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,761.9
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,184.16
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.2
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,935Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,271.76
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$333.18
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$494.39
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$242.5
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.58
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-7.5)backed Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,458.29
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-9.5)backed Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,720.19
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5)backed Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,627.93
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,583Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,404.23
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,957Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,308.76
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$930
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,815.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,823Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$13,822.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,200
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$7,798.96
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$6,568.71
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+98.5%+$645
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$888.27
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,830Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$5,170
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,399.99
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,299.94
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,832Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+93.8%+$9,220.36
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$950
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,377.58
Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$7,163.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,879.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$2,262.28
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,804.86
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$466.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12,153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4,963.93
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,927Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.6%+$5,238.41
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$4,900
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,396.97
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,800
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,144
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+104.2%+$7,653
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.71
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,638.34
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.4
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,178.57
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,095Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,012.38
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$3,668.57
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12,229Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+54%+$6,603.1
Will RB Leipzig beat Bayern Munich?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,078Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+30%+$922.13
Will Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,993.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,264.86
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,650
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$135.85
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,300
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18,645Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$10,487.81
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$673.57
Will Juventus vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$452.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,450.7
Will Bolivia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+213.8%+$4,786.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200.5
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,552Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$1,529.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$997.22
Will AZ win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,117.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17,132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5,418.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,826.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.