MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe51d9e6ffa2c4e05feb48f7655f389f948a7d99920b4a79383bf89283bf6f8f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 49c | 25,203$12,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,349.4 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 16,798$8,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,231.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 9,007$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.9 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,502$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.5 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,900$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,645$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,245$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed New York Yankees | 50c | 749.75$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.41 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 42c | 620.89$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 32c | 600.17$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 404.26$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed New York Yankees | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Yankees | 47c | 385.41$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Yankees | 27c | 373.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 328.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Yankees | 20c | 285.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed New York Yankees | 16c | 284.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 247.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 240.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 240.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed New York Yankees | 49c | 225.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 215.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 213.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 203.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 196$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees | 48c | 181$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed New York Yankees | 36c | 166.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked New York Yankees | 32c | 164.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 140.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 50c | 113.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 110.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed New York Yankees | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 96.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed New York Yankees | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 79.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…332dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 76.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 72.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 68.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 68.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 63.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 60.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 58.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed New York Yankees | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 52.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 49.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…240cbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 36.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 35.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 34.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed New York Yankees | 49c | 29.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 28.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed New York Yankees | 49c | 28.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed New York Yankees | 52c | 25.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 25.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…2c87backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked New York Yankees | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 20.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 17.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.