MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ee5f1450dbdb0ba1dedb6df804d46e51fd76a997bb75011f2f83e3650497d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 77,603$48,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,890 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 60,564$22,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,070.64 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 39,095$14,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,238.64 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6d…4e2cbacked New York Yankees | 0c | 32,902$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 29,847$19,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,854.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 28,838$13,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,783.13 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 21,595$7,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,708.04 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed New York Yankees | 61c | 19,883$12,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,128.45 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed New York Yankees | 62c | 19,768$12,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,193.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 18,666$11,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,572.92 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 17,820$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,610.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 15,762$7,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,041.7 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed New York Yankees | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.93 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Yankees | 63c | 14,427$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,144.59 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 14,027$5,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,815.34 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 43c | 12,391$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 46c | 11,315$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 10,726$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,512.31 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…78a7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 10,427$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Yankees | 62c | 9,515$5,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.62 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 30c | 8,974$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.17 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 8,224$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.04 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 7,391$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.31 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed New York Yankees | 68c | 7,097$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 6,566$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.77 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 5,867$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.5 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees | 50c | 5,820$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 61c | 5,758$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.79 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed New York Yankees | 64c | 5,618$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.43 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 5,534$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 5,446$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 5,201$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.68 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 4,766$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 61c | 3,934$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 3,920$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.39 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 53c | 3,908$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 3,758$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.32 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 3,681$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.57 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 3,329$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed New York Yankees | 17c | 3,306$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.9 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed New York Yankees | 61c | 3,293$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.67 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed New York Yankees | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 2,961$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.79 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,853$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 46c | 2,846$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.98 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 2,823$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.95 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed New York Yankees | 62c | 2,585$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.61 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed New York Yankees | 61c | 2,422$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.71 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 2,419$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.55 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,413$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.99 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 2,410$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 60c | 2,391$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.86 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,302$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.49 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,089$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.43 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…9167backed New York Yankees | 17c | 2,019$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Yankees | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 63c | 1,839$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.37 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Yankees | 31c | 1,816$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.74 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3742…1e69backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,787$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,776$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed New York Yankees | 63c | 1,742$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.06 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,611$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Yankees | 19c | 1,577$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,573$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.22 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,514$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.92 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 26c | 1,382$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed New York Yankees | 29c | 1,350$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Yankees | 25c | 1,349$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.34 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,347$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.89 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees | 40c | 1,316$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.04 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.43 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 1,235$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.66 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,221$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.89 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed New York Yankees | 21c | 1,202$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked New York Yankees | 2c | 1,182$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 1,133$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.76 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked New York Yankees | 65c | 1,087$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.36 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed New York Yankees | 26c | 1,087$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.82 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,070$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.91 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.2 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed New York Yankees | 38c | 1,006$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.53 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Yankees | 60c | 999.98$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.99 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 987.81$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.44 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 980.8$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed New York Yankees | 53c | 979.57$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.17 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 926.02$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.91 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed New York Yankees | 50c | 893.61$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.28 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 891.72$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.58 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed New York Yankees | 43c | 890.71$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.39 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 820.5$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.5 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 805.42$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.42 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 804.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.76 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.27 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 746.02$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.95 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 741.08$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.06 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 695.68$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.24 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6474backed New York Yankees | 34c | 693.94$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.