TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf472…a262

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
560
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+3,348.3%+$5,923.1
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.58
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+258.8%+$1,973.54
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.43
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.26
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.96
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.08
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.79
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$653
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.13
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,129.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,291.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,217.74
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.38
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.15
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.79
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.15
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.01
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,136.33
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT8515.3%13 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.88
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.95
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.35
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.83
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$261.33
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.36
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.23
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.19
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.93
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$182.73
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,338.46
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.41
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT547.4%4 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+434.5%+$5,511.55
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.51
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.74
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.03
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.55
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.51
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.97
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,695.72
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.26
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.15
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.03
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.32
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.36
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+506.5%+$275.58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$644.07
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,838.3
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+724.5%+$615.1
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$96.03
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$242
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$252.19
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT430%0 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.63
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$245.86
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.06
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.69
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$207.66
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198.92
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,342.48
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$581.77
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$445.82
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.39
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.47
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$778.33
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$414.03
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$562.39
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$256.6
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$129.16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.73
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.18
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$905.37
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.5%+$106
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$171.63
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$129.82
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.69
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$128.93
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131.17
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$224.27
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,095.61
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.1
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.37
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$73.98
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$114.6
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+214.2%+$68.17
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.16
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$296.14
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+525%+$310.8
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,364.01
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.9
RFK Jr. Out by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.54
Kash Patel out by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.68
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+470.4%+$1,042.93
Will Lucas Herbert win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.24
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.94
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.44
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.59
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.76
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.1
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.73
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.15
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.05
Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.43
Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.54
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,098.75
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,964.09
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.17
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.99
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.47
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.28
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.21
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$155.72
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.73
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+313.2%+$313.22
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.38
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+313.2%+$939.67
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.81
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.82
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT240%0 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.58
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.45
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.85
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.8
Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.26
Will Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.82
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.07
Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.13
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.08
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.54
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.2
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.68
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.96
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.04
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.17
All 24 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid+196.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+235.2%+$135.66
Will Justin Bieber play "Where Are Ü Now" first at Coachella?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Justin Bieber play "Beauty and a Beat" first at Coachella?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.43
Will Justin Bieber play "Love Yourself" first at Coachella?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.25
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.27
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) by KPop Demon Hunters Cast be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$141.81
Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$335.7
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$936.4
Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.82
Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.08
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3250000 and 3500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2750000 and 3000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+5,172.8%+$1,098.76
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.87
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.31
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.7
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+222.5%+$469.11
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST170%0 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$470.73
OpenAI acquired in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.24
Will no acquisition occur by May 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.94
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$39.92
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$79.52
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.29
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$180.43
Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.35
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.41
Will anyone say "India" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.91
Will anyone say "Tariffs" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.62
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.3
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jo Stevens be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will Jess Phillips be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Dan Jarvis be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
Will Sally Jameson be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Angela Rayner be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.71
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.01
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003.74
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,720
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,615.39
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$419.54
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$264.68
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick14cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.45
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.14
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.65
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+289.9%+$469.1
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.63
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+105.1%+$404.86
Will Zohran Mamdani get 65% or more of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50.12
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 65% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$72.64
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,876.5
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,407.17
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,531.74
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,486.42
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+512.2%+$677.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.91
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+611.5%+$2,902
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.42
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.66
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.89
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+246.1%+$485.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$609.9
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+566.7%+$850
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,030.69
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$582.09
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$150.41
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$48.05
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$196.09
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+143.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$564.29
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.89
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.28
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.47
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$779.09
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+809.1%+$4,450
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+462%+$1,386.04
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69.77
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.98
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82.8
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$103.43
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+154.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.02
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$61.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$160.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.