Ukraine · resolved market
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x377567785c949645ef3ec315c927c7bca8fdf396b8d22479e28c45ab847f40c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,184,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,223,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,184,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 6c | 119,837$7,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,496.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 6c | 66,059$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.83 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 7c | 54,782$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.42 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 7c | 50,000$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.99 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 28,976$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.2 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…287cbacked Yes | 9c | 28,287$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…adecbacked Yes | 13c | 21,764$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…2928backed Yes | 12c | 19,654$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 11c | 14,654$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…1fe8backed Yes | 9c | 12,260$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…fe1abacked Yes | 8c | 10,442$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 6c | 10,020$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.3 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…30a6backed Yes | 9c | 9,432$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed Yes | 1c | 8,217$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…b8f5backed Yes | 10c | 8,171$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9e…e4a8backed Yes | 3c | 7,808$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6270…daefbacked Yes | 9c | 7,588$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 6c | 7,095$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,011$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…b19ebacked Yes | 7c | 6,547$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9de…fc3cbacked Yes | 6c | 6,123$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1912backed Yes | 8c | 5,927$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 8c | 5,870$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.76 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…2829backed Yes | 9c | 5,584$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes | 10c | 4,730$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 11c | 4,428$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.05 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 11c | 4,327$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.92 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 1c | 4,156$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…323fbacked Yes | 12c | 4,151$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,033$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.62 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…8766backed Yes | 1c | 3,890$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c9…2294backed Yes | 13c | 3,873$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…6932backed Yes | 7c | 3,679$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked Yes | 8c | 3,430$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5d…1532backed Yes | 6c | 3,420$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…c15bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,294$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…bbcdbacked Yes | 9c | 3,250$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949f…4ae8backed Yes | 6c | 3,179$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…8bf3backed Yes | 1c | 3,004$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9d…ec2cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,761$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 5c | 2,137$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…0b3fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…5f03backed Yes | 7c | 2,108$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 12c | 2,020$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…262cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,983$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…f33ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,751$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…1fb8backed Yes | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…8a73backed Yes | 11c | 1,612$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 5c | 1,583$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 5c | 1,575$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed Yes | 8c | 1,532$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…d480backed Yes | 3c | 1,434$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…ad18backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…aaddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,345$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed Yes | 4c | 1,285$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…1a32backed Yes | 1c | 1,251$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…e66fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,248$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,230$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…14b3backed Yes | 3c | 1,130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…d9e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,122$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 1,080$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2477…207cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 965.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…7c8ebacked Yes | 1c | 911.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 9c | 861.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9426…3ec0backed Yes | 7c | 842.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…bbb9backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…05adbacked Yes | 13c | 823.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…8798backed Yes | 8c | 815.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 10c | 778.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 8c | 737.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd807…0aecbacked Yes | 6c | 733.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 5c | 725$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…b1a8backed Yes | 9c | 718.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…af9bbacked Yes | 8c | 717.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…8c84backed Yes | 6c | 709.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 7c | 671.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 2c | 671.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…62dabacked Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked Yes | 6c | 659.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5065…fdbbbacked Yes | 9c | 630$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…c961backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bc…87f3backed Yes | 9c | 603.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a3…4793backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…8cbfbacked Yes | 9c | 588.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe2…da81backed Yes | 7c | 557.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 10c | 550$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…677abacked Yes | 4c | 510.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 2c | 503.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…b56dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.