TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67a4…7069

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.11
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$461.44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$482.96
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.33
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.2
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$556.65
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,535.72
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.16
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+258%+$444.63
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$345.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$106
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+119.6%+$190.62
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.69
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.85
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$372
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.72
Will Trump call Putin “strong” on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$134
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$121.84
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$43.2
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$261.91
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+243.5%+$1,850.37
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$42.5
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$261.45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.03
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$710.75
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Iran Nuke in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$168
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$65
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.47
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$174
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.64
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$92.76
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.52
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+77%+$174.24
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+116.7%+$377
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$171.44
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.5
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.8%+$118
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$385
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$202.03
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+110.8%+$198.47
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$935.82
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$578.45
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$851.02
TikTok on App Store again before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+177.8%+$1,190.76
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$514.77
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+28.8%+$1,808.06
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$95.68
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+30.9%+$501.45
Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42.81
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+138.1%+$62.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+38.1%+$443.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: DRX vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+32%+$21.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$99.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake release an album by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,615.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.