Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc62d6e935097ab9bfd31790bf222e863b6a1509d2ae4602762ee6b8ec4acc07a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 17c | 39,181$6,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.85 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 19c | 31,164$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.55 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 11c | 14,604$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.25 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…c21bbacked Yes | 4c | 10,975$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 9,706$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.08 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…287cbacked Yes | 45c | 8,905$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…57f7backed Yes | 4c | 8,330$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.87 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…c600backed Yes | 15c | 8,075$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 79c | 6,516$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.19 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…2415backed Yes | 11c | 5,268$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.63 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…5a7cbacked No | 70c | 5,267$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…0849backed Yes | 5c | 4,545$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed Yes | 7c | 4,251$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.94 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 3,686$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 75c | 3,628$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.84 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 22c | 3,526$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.65 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 16c | 3,505$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed No | 76c | 3,426$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 77c | 3,353$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.3 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,146$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.45 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 28c | 2,832$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.85 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,819$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…ed1abacked Yes | 3c | 2,784$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.32 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 68c | 2,720$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.9 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 71c | 2,705$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,604$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 39c | 2,516$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,389$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 4c | 2,329$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…ce1cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…4794backed Yes | 14c | 2,131$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 61c | 2,073$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.08 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed Yes | 24c | 1,919$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.44 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 2c | 1,917$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,818$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 22c | 1,740$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 75c | 1,738$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.18 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…d82cbacked No | 66c | 1,678$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3a…d4d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 4c | 1,509$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 18c | 1,439$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked Yes | 28c | 1,368$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.14 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…e35cbacked No | 76c | 1,318$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…3570backed Yes | 4c | 1,290$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…8c9bbacked No | 74c | 1,242$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.83 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7f87backed Yes | 3c | 1,173$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 4c | 1,139$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,065$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes | 3c | 1,054$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…247cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,045$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…56f6backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…2172backed Yes | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…5824backed No | 72c | 956.04$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.51 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…14e3backed Yes | 2c | 946.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…97d1backed Yes | 4c | 935.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 72c | 926.01$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.18 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…b532backed No | 80c | 917.6$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 32c | 895.22$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…ab86backed Yes | 2c | 895.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 66c | 852.83$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.83 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…c677backed Yes | 2c | 849.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 68c | 836.34$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.63 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 5c | 813.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4226…aecfbacked No | 79c | 806.34$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…e387backed Yes | 11c | 800$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed No | 71c | 799.99$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 35c | 794$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 73c | 743$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 75c | 715.98$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.57 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 3c | 714.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 8c | 713.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…06e5backed Yes | 2c | 708.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b3f7backed Yes | 4c | 674.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9779…9378backed Yes | 2c | 654.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…7a42backed Yes | 15c | 634.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed No | 70c | 623.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.85 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…9211backed No | 79c | 620$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e2…42d6backed Yes | 4c | 614.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…9940backed Yes | 2c | 599.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 3c | 597.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 3c | 595.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…b515backed No | 76c | 594.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 12c | 580$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 32c | 579.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 15c | 570.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 11c | 564.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 62c | 562.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…58f3backed Yes | 3c | 483.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 10c | 449.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb5…bdcdbacked Yes | 3c | 436.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 3c | 436.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 3c | 436.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…9fabbacked No | 69c | 434.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.