TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62e8…c7f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
474
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT14147.5%67 W · 74 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.53
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.08
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.28
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$233.33
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$113.38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$689.3
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$181.61
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+45%+$63.91
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.04
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$118.79
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,366.67
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$94.97
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+154.3%+$106.5
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$90
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10451%53 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$170.65
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$28.49
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,711Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$495.34
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,940
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$56.15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$59.89
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+254%+$745.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$159.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$269
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$108.15
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$901.26
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$776
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+401.4%+$561.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$239.55
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+361.9%+$60.42
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$539.87
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$153.58
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$790
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+60.5%+$60.47
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.4%+$177.71
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$16.5
US forces in Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.1%+$721.33
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$39.92
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,478.84
Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$26.49
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$315.09
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$235.2
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+77.1%+$292.54
Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+300%+$120
Nothing Ever Happens: Julybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+229.8%+$134.98
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+126.1%+$63.53
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$65.78
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.2%+$35.8
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.16
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41.75
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$66.78
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+400%+$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+284.6%+$170.77
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+125.6%+$125.56
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127%+$76.22
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$115.8
LoL: DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+36.4%+$78.07
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$83.29
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$47
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: mouse vs regain (BO3) - CCT North America Series #3 Group Abacked mouse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+168.5%+$134.79
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+222.4%+$55.61
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+134.1%+$26.83
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47.99
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Truck Drivers (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Truck Drivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+65.4%+$49.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28%+$25.9
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs BOSS (BO3)backed BOSS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+367.7%+$187.16
Counter-Strike: M80 vs regain (BO3)backed regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Phoenix (BO3)backed Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$116.63
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs Midnight (BO3)backed Midnight · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs los kogutos (BO3)backed los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.95
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy (BO3)backed Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+87.4%+$205.89
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+145.4%+$466.46
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+152.1%+$162.96
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$494.25
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Game - Winning Conference backed AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$154.17
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+57.8%+$150.26
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+326.8%+$859.56
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+177.8%+$248.89
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+305.5%+$477.83
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+95.4%+$70.76
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+36.9%+$36.86
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+724.7%+$362.34
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,675
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,476.52
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+25%+$125
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,450.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$102.44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+52.3%+$20.9
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$23.33
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$103
Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.2
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+225.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+88.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.06
Major solar storm by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$248.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+143.8%+$307.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelosi vs. S&P - Januarybacked Pelosi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.5%+$145.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$57.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PGA Championship: Hole in One? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.