Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a63e3c3163446dfe747e94e41109b5f4061f708e6ac91cd3c715649bf7b76c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x582a…d6f9backed No | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…0c87backed Yes | 42c | 11,755$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 45c | 6,803$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.54 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 59c | 5,013$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.79 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 32c | 4,347$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.21 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 31c | 2,069$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.22 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 39c | 1,843$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.17 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 33c | 1,705$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.06 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed No | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked No | 53c | 1,547$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.47 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 1,400$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 38c | 1,237$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed No | 61c | 1,211$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 11c | 951.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 28c | 861.65$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 73c | 768.93$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.25 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 744.77$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.48 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Yes | 22c | 728.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…321dbacked Yes | 33c | 599.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 44c | 524.12$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.18 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 74c | 499.92$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.94 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked Yes | 37c | 477.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed Yes | 18c | 464.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.89 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…d642backed No | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 24c | 396.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…caa5backed Yes | 39c | 389.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…dbbabacked Yes | 39c | 387.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 64c | 366.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…ac9cbacked Yes | 31c | 348.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked No | 70c | 344.86$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked No | 21c | 340.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78a…9d89backed No | 66c | 332.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c90…8770backed No | 71c | 321.47$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd37…9f53backed No | 71c | 318.96$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 29c | 315.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…b4a2backed No | 69c | 305.83$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes | 32c | 304.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 15c | 300$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…352abacked No | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 67c | 296.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 68c | 294.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 292.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked Yes | 33c | 265.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…924dbacked Yes | 38c | 240.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…a473backed No | 29c | 236.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361d…761ebacked No | 66c | 233.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…2e62backed Yes | 43c | 233.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 79c | 229.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…eecabacked No | 46c | 213.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ca…b1d6backed Yes | 39c | 207.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…b2ccbacked No | 56c | 204.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…f0e5backed No | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…981cbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f4…5228backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…1de9backed Yes | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…d9babacked Yes | 37c | 190$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…53f3backed No | 62c | 184.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…c572backed Yes | 78c | 181.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…6537backed No | 58c | 181.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…93cfbacked No | 56c | 178.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb380…0b00backed No | 58c | 175.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 36c | 175.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Yes | 49c | 174.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…c435backed Yes | 30c | 174.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 60c | 173.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…db9cbacked No | 70c | 171.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 171.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…747abacked No | 68c | 169.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…6056backed No | 64c | 169.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…38a7backed Yes | 80c | 169.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 59c | 169.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…9c31backed No | 63c | 165.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…1508backed Yes | 57c | 163.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…3771backed No | 70c | 161.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a7…ae8dbacked No | 70c | 161.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 52c | 160.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280b…a7e2backed Yes | 77c | 160.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…fe4dbacked No | 71c | 160.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…4d2cbacked No | 62c | 155.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…0a87backed No | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c10…75b1backed Yes | 78c | 154.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…cbc7backed Yes | 77c | 154.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60a…5a90backed No | 26c | 151.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…ef93backed No | 62c | 149.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…884abacked Yes | 78c | 149.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414e…144ebacked No | 56c | 148.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Yes | 32c | 147.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216d…a4e1backed No | 64c | 144.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…9299backed Yes | 79c | 143.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83db…4b90backed Yes | 70c | 142.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 21c | 141.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…8208backed Yes | 72c | 141.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…28aebacked Yes | 75c | 139.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 138.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…bf23backed Yes | 67c | 137.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…f160backed No | 63c | 136.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.