Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x533e92d201d46ccbf2249d86d7f25a340c02b4af3f7a20bb7248dad138c31ad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 2c | 1,897$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 73c | 1,563$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.67 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 1,003$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.43 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 56c | 997.39$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 22c | 833.15$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.12 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…ba6cbacked No | 74c | 782.01$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…199bbacked Yes | 29c | 685.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…1ab9backed Yes | 32c | 639$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 6c | 626.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 17c | 527.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…e915backed Yes | 5c | 515$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…9949backed Yes | 23c | 380$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 35c | 351.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…b2ccbacked No | 73c | 293.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 7c | 289.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 16c | 279.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9a…030bbacked No | 64c | 273.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 250.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 16c | 232.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78a…9d89backed No | 65c | 229.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c12…9a6bbacked Yes | 22c | 224.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…a2e0backed Yes | 5c | 220.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 78c | 209.77$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 5c | 208.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…793cbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…01d8backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…7990backed Yes | 50c | 198.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 41c | 193$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…966fbacked No | 65c | 186.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 43c | 175.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…e7cdbacked Yes | 51c | 170.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 64c | 158$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 152$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed Yes | 45c | 148.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 29c | 146.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…3bc0backed No | 70c | 143.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…d9aebacked No | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked No | 54c | 118.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 22c | 108.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…5c92backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…6d22backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…7380backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…8912backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…4bfabacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…b756backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes | 20c | 94.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 22c | 94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Yes | 34c | 93.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad6…8b65backed Yes | 47c | 73.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 30c | 71.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 70.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…1cecbacked Yes | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…0685backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2402…2bfcbacked Yes | 29c | 58.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Yes | 50c | 54.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 52.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b9…a41ebacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…a93fbacked No | 78c | 47.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b9…d8e0backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…b4a2backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 33c | 40.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…5742backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…1de9backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…8d3fbacked No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…6928backed Yes | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed No | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 59c | 31.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…6e5ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked No | 54c | 21.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…7946backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…2c24backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…a684backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…8cc9backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed No | 68c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.