Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f92ff1f6113091642502836b5a06b66079597ebbb8d5514eadd330d07fe555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 68c | 4,564$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked No | 36c | 3,818$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 2,696$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 45c | 2,416$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.44 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 1c | 2,015$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 22c | 1,284$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.98 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 59c | 845.49$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.13 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…3868backed No | 25c | 779.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 36c | 601.57$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 35c | 566.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 3c | 536.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 34c | 532.02$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.71 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 50c | 508.66$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.42 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 33c | 500.66$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…3e6ebacked Yes | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked No | 15c | 384.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…a426backed No | 34c | 383.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 16c | 363.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 20c | 318.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 58c | 301.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde4…7bfdbacked Yes | 77c | 299.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dec5backed No | 8c | 271.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 10c | 262.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 51c | 246$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 233.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…fca1backed No | 29c | 232.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed No | 5c | 226.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked Yes | 38c | 222.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed Yes | 77c | 205.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5517backed No | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…6b54backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…8d24backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fd…69febacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…d642backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f4…5228backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 45c | 198.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…dbbabacked Yes | 67c | 193.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 60c | 186.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 43c | 180.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…1695backed Yes | 56c | 180$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…ae4abacked No | 47c | 159.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 73c | 151.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…cd92backed No | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…298ebacked No | 43c | 123.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…e2e1backed No | 30c | 116.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…f414backed No | 51c | 115.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 61c | 114.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 73c | 114$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78a…9d89backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f1…9f7dbacked No | 18c | 113.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed Yes | 70c | 111$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…da8dbacked No | 35c | 110.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 103.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 1,045 | 34.6%362 W · 683 L | -93.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216d…a4e1backed No | 33c | 102.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…e85ebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…7825backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…6d22backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e67…8831backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…8df2backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…c11abacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…53d5backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…b756backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9308…0321backed No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 42c | 88.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…6791backed No | 41c | 86.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Yes | 58c | 86.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 162 | 76.5%124 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…8d3fbacked Yes | 63c | 75.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…65e8backed Yes | 56c | 73.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fb…7d82backed No | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 46c | 71.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…b4a2backed No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…8f78backed No | 27c | 67.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 69c | 66.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…65a7backed No | 29c | 53.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…c6cabacked No | 38c | 53.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 27c | 52.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…eb50backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5c41backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…62f8backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…3d50backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…36c7backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.