TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc255…62f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Commodities at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+56.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$450.8
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$319.8
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$63.89
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+170.3%+$76.62
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$43.34
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16.4
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$28.26
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$38.7
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70.3
Nets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$7.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$61.39
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69.96
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42.17
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$47.14
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+25%+$8.65
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.97
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$30.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.99
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$139.59
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$136.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$8.78
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$53.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$126.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$89.47
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$19.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$129.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.