NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e4e57b23cb94403ccda8b2bb01dd7a4f75d77005b5b672a007e258ed24b6d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,388,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,516,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,388,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,693 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Hornets | 43c | 552,360$239,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,823.93 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Raptors | 57c | 367,647$209,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,088.39 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Raptors | 56c | 165,249$92,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,709.67 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Hornets | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,800 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Raptors | 55c | 59,394$32,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,727.12 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Hornets | 79c | 52,509$41,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,580.96 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Hornets | 46c | 49,983$22,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,807.8 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 13c | 47,422$6,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,341.45 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 56c | 42,860$24,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,858.39 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 55c | 38,757$21,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,267.84 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Hornets | 44c | 36,926$16,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,247.32 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Raptors | 55c | 36,438$20,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,397.05 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Raptors | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.92 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets | 45c | 34,590$15,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,565.61 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Hornets | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 62c | 28,150$17,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,415.02 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 45c | 27,682$12,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,456.9 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 57c | 26,595$15,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,471.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Raptors | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,249.97 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Hornets | 45c | 20,005$9,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,002.24 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 66c | 19,373$12,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,740.32 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…bf96backed Raptors | 56c | 19,091$10,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,317.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Raptors | 55c | 18,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.98 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Hornets | 43c | 15,629$6,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,771.43 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Hornets | 45c | 15,556$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 32c | 15,276$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,373.54 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 44c | 14,822$6,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,521.82 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Hornets | 45c | 14,816$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,667.2 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Raptors | 40c | 14,512$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,736.39 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Raptors | 55c | 13,636$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136.36 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Hornets | 45c | 12,040$5,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,418 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Hornets | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Raptors | 56c | 11,900$6,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,236 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 54c | 10,824$5,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,979.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 32c | 10,654$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,246.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…59f6backed Raptors | 56c | 10,416$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Hornets | 44c | 10,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raptors | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Raptors | 57c | 10,000$5,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed Hornets | 74c | 8,795$6,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 8c | 8,705$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,045.93 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hornets | 49c | 8,612$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.92 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Raptors | 57c | 8,517$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.2 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Hornets | 45c | 8,094$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.36 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors | 22c | 8,059$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,313.39 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Raptors | 16c | 8,000$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Raptors | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Hornets | 43c | 8,000$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.93 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Hornets | 44c | 7,400$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 40c | 7,137$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.36 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Hornets | 42c | 7,082$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Raptors | 58c | 6,884$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.04 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Raptors | 54c | 6,482$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.7 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Hornets | 43c | 6,364$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.52 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Raptors | 55c | 6,261$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.82 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…8c71backed Raptors | 57c | 6,248$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Raptors | 56c | 6,141$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.09 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Hornets | 45c | 6,006$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.7 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 56c | 5,952$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.79 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 56c | 5,690$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.53 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 44c | 5,600$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.59 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Raptors | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.75 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Raptors | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Raptors | 56c | 5,450$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Hornets | 43c | 5,012$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.98 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Raptors | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Hornets | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Raptors | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.98 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors | 17c | 4,724$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.38 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Hornets | 1c | 4,700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 42c | 4,699$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.82 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Raptors | 56c | 4,536$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.71 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Hornets | 51c | 4,500$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.48 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors | 49c | 4,500$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.98 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Hornets | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4331…39e5backed Raptors | 53c | 4,100$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Hornets | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Raptors | 56c | 3,929$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.57 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…6a27backed Raptors | 54c | 3,668$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Raptors | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hornets | 41c | 3,619$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Raptors | 55c | 3,615$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.41 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Raptors | 42c | 3,543$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.02 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Raptors | 56c | 3,519$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.16 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Raptors | 27c | 3,476$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.65 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Raptors | 56c | 3,241$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.36 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Raptors | 55c | 3,231$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.19 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 40c | 3,172$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 52c | 3,149$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 43c | 2,985$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.71 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Hornets | 60c | 2,981$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Raptors | 55c | 2,950$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.61 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 55c | 2,938$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Hornets | 66c | 2,817$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.88 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…ffa8backed Hornets | 1c | 2,800$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e4…20a3backed Raptors | 56c | 2,794$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Hornets | 1c | 2,722$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Hornets | 45c | 2,720$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Hornets won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.