NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1111c00d0ea72d372fd18a773a9d76b0783aadf7fb179ab22c5eefc900b0214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Raptors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,361,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,364,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,361,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Raptors | 50c | 600,000$300,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,000 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 50c | 548,937$274,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274,221.7 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 50c | 467,777$233,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,888.5 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hornets | 50c | 300,000$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 50c | 250,000$125,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Hornets | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,399.99 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Hornets | 52c | 55,000$28,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,263.43 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 50c | 38,154$19,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,083.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 48c | 33,532$16,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,171.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Raptors | 49c | 22,962$11,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,251.38 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hornets | 50c | 20,173$10,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,086.5 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 49c | 15,247$7,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,494.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 50c | 15,065$7,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,481.95 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Hornets | 51c | 8,000$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 48c | 7,439$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 49c | 6,202$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.07 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Hornets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Raptors | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Hornets | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 49c | 4,360$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.5 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Raptors | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Raptors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 50c | 3,960$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Hornets | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 3,394$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 49c | 3,313$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Raptors | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 26c | 2,298$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.86 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 47c | 2,284$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Hornets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hornets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,841$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,830$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,806$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.82 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 51c | 1,621$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.43 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Hornets | 53c | 1,607$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.31 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets | 50c | 1,547$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,497$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.5 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Raptors | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Hornets | 49c | 1,293$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.46 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Raptors | 48c | 1,073$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.04 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Raptors | 50c | 1,041$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.22 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Raptors | 47c | 995$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.65 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Hornets | 52c | 800$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.8 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Hornets | 51c | 790$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.25 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Raptors | 21c | 748.85$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Raptors | 49c | 732.65$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 79c | 729.97$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 45c | 679.91$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Raptors | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Hornets | 52c | 619.26$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.26 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Hornets | 51c | 610.85$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hornets | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 50c | 488.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.46 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 47c | 461.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 48c | 429$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Raptors | 43c | 400$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Hornets | 45c | 399.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Hornets | 50c | 385.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Hornets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 34c | 365.09$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Hornets | 55c | 344.91$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.46 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Raptors | 42c | 329.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Raptors | 37c | 320.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Raptors | 50c | 315.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.79 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hornets | 55c | 310.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Hornets | 50c | 309$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hornets | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Hornets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Hornets | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 48c | 279.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Raptors | 56c | 268.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hornets | 51c | 251.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Raptors | 49c | 249.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Raptors | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hornets | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Raptors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hornets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hornets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Raptors | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Hornets | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Hornets | 66c | 199.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Raptors | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Hornets | 50c | 165$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hornets | 79c | 163.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 46c | 162.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Hornets won
- Raptors vs. HornetsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.