TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea61…e618backed Under49c9,810$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0032100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26df…8cbabacked Over51c9,800$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over50c4,018$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5301,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f56…7a4ebacked Under49c2,903$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8836…7b5cbacked Under52c2,738$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c2,231$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.373,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under52c2,058$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.693548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c1,665$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.182,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c1,476$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.261,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba3…061cbacked Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x189d…b6b2backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06e1…a6e4backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ad…a059backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cf8…d42ebacked Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd23…24a8backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c8…58bfbacked Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93f2…b592backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68b1…fd0abacked Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x868e…1b3cbacked Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f3…4137backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x095b…2bb6backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1527…d995backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc2…97e0backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd3…31afbacked Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb174…5dadbacked Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc04b…585dbacked Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd114…bb72backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69a5…b429backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fda…9031backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f51…9414backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb788…5503backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…6dddbacked Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd42d…b767backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a95…9895backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa384…5182backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x81c7…6b77backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa645…db37backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbda0…7f8abacked Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd0f…3059backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2543…9814backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f00…5749backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb03e…55c9backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x174b…410bbacked Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5c…5972backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeef1…2641backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…e529backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52fa…35c1backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb86c…12c0backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa350…c73cbacked Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x166f…0a08backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82e9…1be9backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48d9…7736backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe3…ebefbacked Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabc8…62c2backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fdf…630abacked Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe9…3d25backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…efe9backed Under51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d4…2a61backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc120…22c2backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Under50c1,189$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8538750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c995.99$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over8c964.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c575$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c399.08$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.532,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c373$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.582,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c268.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.372,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.478652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under51c141$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.099050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Over49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.997643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over47c97.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9593849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under65c95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.256872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under54c92.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6937352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over35c88.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9959141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over28c79.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3516…ea50backed Over51c79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.293036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under62c78.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8963745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over52c77.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.11,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under63c73.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.291,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3520651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c61.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Over52c55.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.776347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under52c50.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.150347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over23c49.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1630616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Over49c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.034654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe39e…fcf3backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd66c…6e0dbacked Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7434050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…e653backed Under51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.336347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Over49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.195048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c30.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e71…8913backed Over49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.722138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under51c25.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6352246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Under50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.59642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f7…1cddbacked Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.