NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc91f7f6ab3c2bc8308eb59afa20196163c93770b9bc2e2d4e3fd054f0199c038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Raptors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Hornets | 47c | 1,622$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.59 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Raptors | 45c | 1,540$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.47 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 58c | 1,389$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Raptors | 57c | 1,059$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,018$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.61 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 49c | 912.07$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Raptors | 56c | 718.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets | 44c | 397.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Raptors | 16c | 280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Hornets | 49c | 101.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Hornets | 50c | 100.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7872…e775backed Raptors | 56c | 98.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Raptors | 51c | 87.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Raptors | 38c | 65.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Raptors | 38c | 53.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Hornets | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…6f6ebacked Hornets | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Hornets | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Raptors | 38c | 49.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Raptors | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Hornets won
- Raptors vs. HornetsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.