TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b0d…5087

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+89.1%+$10.05
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+47.7%+$6.38
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.03
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.1%+$3.39
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.48
Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+40.2%+$6.03
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Australian Open Men's: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Geabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+132.5%+$13.34
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
Set 1 Winner: Marcinko vs Mariabacked Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.5%+$2.74
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Brisbane International: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Pegulabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Olivia Gadeckibacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.64
ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.38
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+114.6%+$11.65
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Mariano Navonebacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Brisbane International: Marketa Vondrousova vs Magdalena Frechbacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+171.9%+$85.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-76.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.96
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.13
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.82
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.55
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
All 6 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+97.3%+$12.11
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+84.3%+$12.11
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+266.2%+$32.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. Paris Basketballbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madridbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy (BO3)backed Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+98.8%+$22.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.8%+$8.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Round of 16 - Germany vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$53.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.