World Politics · resolved market
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcde02af15efe40e336d67f0ef9aa49e9d40c37b92961fb890afc4afdbfe54d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,782,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,047,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,782,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca76…28b3backed No | 32c | 582,026$186,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,152.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…45b4backed Yes | 77c | 137,114$105,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,725.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2ab0backed Yes | 72c | 120,754$86,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,291.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 21c | 81,034$17,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,255.31 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 79c | 73,539$57,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,695.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe349…db20backed Yes | 71c | 62,064$44,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,984.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 26c | 59,000$15,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 20c | 55,585$10,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,840.41 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…22e1backed Yes | 73c | 55,411$40,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,081.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…d320backed Yes | 74c | 53,177$39,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…451cbacked No | 25c | 51,428$12,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,857 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 76c | 50,000$37,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…109dbacked Yes | 78c | 46,036$35,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,156.93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…aca3backed No | 9c | 43,921$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…5324backed Yes | 72c | 42,800$30,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,191.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 77c | 42,632$32,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,754.27 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5847…5420backed Yes | 75c | 40,046$29,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,060.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065e…79adbacked Yes | 66c | 36,088$23,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,357.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Yes | 67c | 35,861$24,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,721.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9745…efe5backed Yes | 66c | 35,261$23,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,009.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…73ecbacked No | 28c | 33,729$9,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,396.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…1743backed No | 24c | 32,668$7,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,773.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…adcdbacked Yes | 68c | 29,851$20,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,622.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6356backed Yes | 74c | 28,225$20,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,265.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…911dbacked Yes | 76c | 27,252$20,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…c686backed Yes | 66c | 26,394$17,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,914.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a46…fe98backed No | 16c | 26,114$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 20c | 25,666$5,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.36 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 67c | 25,000$16,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,299.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…e8d1backed Yes | 66c | 24,799$16,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,314.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 76c | 24,317$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…4355backed Yes | 68c | 24,204$16,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,835.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 23c | 23,507$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…eed6backed Yes | 65c | 22,991$15,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,937 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…7926backed No | 27c | 22,109$5,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,969.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 70c | 20,893$14,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,195.33 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…2d7cbacked Yes | 66c | 20,271$13,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 19,900$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017f…7acbbacked Yes | 68c | 18,148$12,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee66…ead4backed No | 35c | 18,020$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…af69backed Yes | 73c | 17,696$12,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…4d62backed Yes | 76c | 17,644$13,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…e9f4backed Yes | 75c | 17,446$13,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…3aa6backed No | 27c | 16,990$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…773dbacked Yes | 76c | 16,760$12,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…026bbacked Yes | 69c | 16,241$11,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…42e7backed Yes | 65c | 16,223$10,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…5f43backed Yes | 78c | 16,145$12,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed No | 34c | 15,718$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 28c | 15,629$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.66 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…14f8backed Yes | 67c | 15,575$10,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…dad2backed No | 28c | 15,251$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.84 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 11c | 14,065$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.8 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 61c | 14,015$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,458.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…ee51backed Yes | 67c | 13,841$9,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…906fbacked Yes | 66c | 13,500$8,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,593.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 77c | 13,118$10,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.73 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…aff6backed Yes | 70c | 12,840$8,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d36…2b19backed No | 25c | 12,434$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…ef48backed No | 1c | 12,400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 66c | 12,369$8,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.21 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 16c | 12,234$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.78 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 63c | 12,011$7,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.03 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…73d7backed Yes | 68c | 11,583$7,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Yes | 74c | 11,268$8,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 68c | 11,000$7,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Yes | 76c | 10,600$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…460ebacked Yes | 76c | 10,566$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 68c | 10,399$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.3 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…8d18backed No | 34c | 10,132$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 34c | 10,055$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…2596backed Yes | 67c | 9,960$6,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 65c | 9,917$6,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.19 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…cf0ebacked Yes | 70c | 9,800$6,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 27c | 9,783$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.12 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ab…1215backed Yes | 76c | 9,636$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…2f3abacked No | 29c | 9,306$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed No | 33c | 9,200$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed Yes | 78c | 9,030$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 29c | 9,015$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.7 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 65c | 8,972$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.74 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…17c0backed Yes | 76c | 8,917$6,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…8c95backed Yes | 68c | 8,760$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Yes | 71c | 8,639$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.62 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…5729backed Yes | 68c | 8,324$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…4309backed Yes | 75c | 8,245$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…1e4cbacked Yes | 68c | 8,243$5,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…3b2cbacked Yes | 65c | 8,197$5,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…08b4backed Yes | 80c | 8,043$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…e945backed Yes | 68c | 8,040$5,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…a59abacked Yes | 64c | 8,004$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4126backed Yes | 66c | 8,000$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 63c | 8,000$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a41…492abacked Yes | 77c | 7,855$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…ed5fbacked No | 1c | 7,844$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…6512backed Yes | 75c | 7,835$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 74c | 7,825$5,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.68 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…3604backed Yes | 77c | 7,761$5,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…57e1backed No | 23c | 7,487$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.