World Politics · resolved market
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa312499c150a1ca94b788c99f6ae721cbbdfda7679b5d25580fe79d514fdb930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,467,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,305,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,467,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,716 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca76…28b3backed Yes | 33c | 611,185$201,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,786.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 68c | 152,142$103,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,352.68 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2ab0backed No | 72c | 99,907$71,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,912.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…86a9backed Yes | 20c | 93,222$18,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,787.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…284cbacked No | 70c | 79,300$55,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,813.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…3490backed Yes | 33c | 75,411$24,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,910.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4c…57b9backed Yes | 26c | 74,924$19,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,269 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…451cbacked Yes | 32c | 70,785$22,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,930 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…33ccbacked Yes | 36c | 63,502$22,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,860.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed No | 64c | 61,086$38,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,248.46 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…8640backed Yes | 19c | 60,961$11,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,366.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7d…815bbacked Yes | 36c | 56,619$20,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,389.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a7…17febacked Yes | 32c | 56,333$17,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,756.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 66c | 56,271$37,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,060.21 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 20c | 53,946$10,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,747.96 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…2425backed Yes | 30c | 53,142$15,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,756.22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…b34cbacked Yes | 32c | 51,115$16,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,533.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 26c | 51,000$13,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,195.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…014cbacked Yes | 35c | 50,201$17,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,570.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 80c | 46,042$36,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,377.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…3cb1backed Yes | 22c | 44,373$9,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,552 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…01b6backed Yes | 23c | 44,365$10,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,398.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…e9f4backed No | 72c | 39,142$28,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,111.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…109dbacked No | 80c | 37,210$29,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,568.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…eed6backed No | 68c | 35,864$24,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,471.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 68c | 35,138$23,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,344.22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed Yes | 30c | 34,746$10,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,369.96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa97…029dbacked No | 64c | 32,657$20,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,756.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…4184backed Yes | 20c | 31,578$6,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,194.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…b460backed Yes | 23c | 31,365$7,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,114.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…e5a3backed No | 64c | 30,882$19,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,117.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 69c | 30,100$20,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,430.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…6df2backed Yes | 16c | 29,620$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 22c | 28,825$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…c471backed Yes | 25c | 28,252$7,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,085 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8615backed Yes | 31c | 28,000$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0349…66fcbacked No | 65c | 27,480$17,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,618 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…a105backed Yes | 19c | 27,467$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa093…a53bbacked Yes | 31c | 27,128$8,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,507.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 6c | 27,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed Yes | 34c | 23,914$8,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,130.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…2e49backed Yes | 38c | 22,620$8,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,603.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…db0dbacked Yes | 13c | 22,555$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…b31fbacked No | 65c | 22,550$14,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,892.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 78c | 22,234$17,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…d311backed Yes | 1c | 22,009$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…6909backed No | 73c | 21,834$15,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,847.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…d049backed Yes | 21c | 21,530$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 74c | 21,337$15,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.21 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…2f1bbacked Yes | 4c | 21,133$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 75c | 20,344$15,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 66c | 20,000$13,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…850ebacked Yes | 33c | 19,920$6,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,585.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed No | 70c | 19,842$13,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,981.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 19,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe81…9e12backed Yes | 36c | 17,795$6,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…2e3dbacked Yes | 19c | 16,861$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 71c | 16,753$11,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.69 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…f3dbbacked Yes | 26c | 16,666$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,251 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…3bc2backed Yes | 34c | 16,614$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,707.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…a1a8backed Yes | 29c | 16,405$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f27…a5a2backed No | 67c | 16,400$10,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…79c6backed Yes | 33c | 16,102$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 25c | 15,999$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.71 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…b6e8backed No | 67c | 15,500$10,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…16b3backed Yes | 26c | 15,466$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…773dbacked No | 75c | 15,371$11,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51c…7829backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc583…bd46backed No | 71c | 14,326$10,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…52cfbacked No | 77c | 14,199$10,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…ea14backed Yes | 28c | 13,789$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked Yes | 24c | 13,685$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed No | 67c | 13,677$9,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…136cbacked Yes | 15c | 13,646$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…f5bebacked Yes | 12c | 13,548$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…73d7backed No | 70c | 13,443$9,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…34f6backed Yes | 20c | 13,379$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 26c | 13,000$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 72c | 12,973$9,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.82 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…76f0backed Yes | 27c | 12,971$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…aa24backed Yes | 1c | 12,907$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed No | 73c | 12,889$9,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.19 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…d089backed Yes | 26c | 12,864$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…9e2dbacked Yes | 15c | 12,830$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 23c | 12,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 30c | 11,838$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.05 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 68c | 11,800$8,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…72e1backed Yes | 26c | 11,726$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 77c | 11,457$8,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.16 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d02…9489backed Yes | 36c | 11,008$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 78c | 11,005$8,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…d7d9backed Yes | 31c | 10,916$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…4e19backed Yes | 22c | 10,763$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…3dd5backed Yes | 28c | 10,651$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…aca3backed Yes | 37c | 10,614$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…aff6backed No | 76c | 10,541$8,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 67c | 10,357$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.9 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 21c | 10,342$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.13 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…266bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,279$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.