TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,636,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,636,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe52b…3014backed Yes0c529,424$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc96…8f30backed Yes0c528,593$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb570…8f6dbacked Yes0c349,091$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f4c…5f19backed Yes0c348,787$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f9…4a24backed Yes0c341,802$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b2…4475backed Yes0c299,178$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7421…9cddbacked Yes0c214,012$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b68…5007backed Yes0c210,225$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6391…c160backed Yes0c141,585$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa958…6c06backed Yes0c139,272$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…5f50backed Yes0c130,779$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73fd…be49backed Yes0c130,779$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913d…2665backed Yes0c113,048$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8517…75a2backed Yes0c112,610$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172c…7d86backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e2f…9e26backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4799…829dbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…20ecbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0bc…6e0abacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abe…4685backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbacf…7bd9backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab7…7770backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab2…1e67backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c5f…bdfebacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9223…db04backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b6…0219backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528d…729fbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4545…5542backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f6…28d4backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfac…da88backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea5a…8cd0backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b43…1661backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb46…1644backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf65d…3867backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069e…5c80backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c7f…3ec1backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87bb…604abacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9b…69afbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb765…fa9bbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0208…af6bbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3849…55d1backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd1…6748backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cc…2d96backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb778…42e3backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad0…eaa1backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ff…8292backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9027…8857backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698e…c6f3backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c3…962dbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x752a…46a7backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3961…afacbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1df…a759backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7832…5e15backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1159…ac32backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f9…aa7abacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbb…490fbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x244a…891fbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x416e…58a3backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed79…57d9backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…fda1backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbd…9a54backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…db13backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a1…0d7abacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450a…9084backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1821…8e77backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df8…eef0backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f4…7f5cbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a8…5352backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f8…1f76backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43d…9dc2backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7849…83dfbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6614…6877backed Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf9…fa0fbacked Yes0c28,749$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc2…d7b2backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc95…bffabacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x049a…ed25backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2f…f892backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2833…e571backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39e3…d6bcbacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ed…b943backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6208…f187backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e5…f37cbacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab5…54bebacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c4…4d0dbacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f02…1bb2backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd3…dc3fbacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x432f…b345backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…04f6backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90b…dc68backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ee…15dfbacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5df…d047backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ff…da52backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d74…8ff8backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aca…37bfbacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaadf…d184backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8196…f033backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef5…e64cbacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebd…2d5fbacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6f…3088backed Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e23…b2edbacked Yes0c28,747$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.