TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,550,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,550,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29c5…8067backed Yes0c57,543$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d78…28dbbacked Yes0c57,543$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8835…08d9backed Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f2…3a7bbacked Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7730…f129backed Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc086…4dbabacked Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d4…dc2fbacked Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…5b3fbacked Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf6…1995backed Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b7…6d85backed Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbde…9f88backed Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfeb…dac1backed Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abf…01a1backed Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cef…a689backed Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8484…63acbacked Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91b…f53bbacked Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4392…1920backed Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc5…eecfbacked Yes0c57,046$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9d…1b45backed Yes0c54,468$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd0…5902backed Yes0c54,444$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e2…3c9abacked Yes0c53,728$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3840…852bbacked Yes0c51,546$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4e…05a7backed Yes0c51,329$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e51…142ebacked Yes0c51,231$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb9…14a3backed Yes0c51,231$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaaa…35fbbacked Yes0c51,231$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8469…c204backed Yes0c51,231$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92b…137cbacked Yes0c51,231$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9639…4415backed Yes0c51,231$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe950…ee7ebacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2258…09b0backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe038…457dbacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1d…5f62backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438d…8408backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf884…9db0backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c89…8a9dbacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x600c…34f2backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6638…b6c9backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdacf…39acbacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf659…7cdbbacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1e…8f7ebacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f24…3534backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa756…0c6bbacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…30f2backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcd…ae21backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5209…715abacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae1…2edabacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a6…4d8cbacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4227…c39fbacked Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fae…c1a7backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ede…1163backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa26c…d4b6backed Yes0c51,004$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cb…214fbacked Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a04…5b93backed Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa458…218bbacked Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b2…b59bbacked Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed7e…6808backed Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4370…7089backed Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e9…abb7backed Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e72…15d3backed Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2e…fcdcbacked Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a4…6792backed Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b9…1ab2backed Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d4…c5d6backed Yes0c50,868$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd596…1566backed Yes0c50,852$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffee…60cdbacked Yes0c50,852$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…8fa5backed Yes0c50,852$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x264c…13d0backed Yes0c50,852$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e0f…c208backed Yes0c50,828$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444a…8cefbacked Yes0c50,804$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe7…ce66backed Yes0c50,780$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00f…57b1backed Yes0c50,756$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf081…a966backed Yes0c50,732$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045d…c32dbacked Yes0c50,708$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb493…545cbacked Yes0c50,684$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca27…7cf7backed Yes0c50,670$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf801…16f7backed Yes0c50,646$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75f…0576backed Yes0c50,598$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb20b…ed62backed Yes0c50,594$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ad…1b7bbacked Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf1…fdcbbacked Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cd…1a31backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x251c…543dbacked Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b21…88e0backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fb…ab9abacked Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e2…1091backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e37…8905backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1fb…21a7backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab53…bffebacked Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd8…8317backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x190b…7993backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…b229backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadce…ef5dbacked Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b34…2243backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff6…b5a5backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x158e…d967backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…c356backed Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e93…ae8dbacked Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x879e…5e4abacked Yes0c50,543$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc80…0410backed Yes0c50,302$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.