World Politics · resolved market
Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814cccd741cec4b0d042acb0e67101c7c9585af01c10373cd44414b118331ec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,623,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,623,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 0c | 93,508$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a60fbacked Yes | 0c | 84,677$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…e646backed Yes | 0c | 83,890$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Yes | 0c | 83,760$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…0322backed Yes | 0c | 81,850$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…09f3backed Yes | 0c | 80,030$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f3…7ccbbacked Yes | 0c | 66,260$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…2fd9backed Yes | 0c | 55,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…af8abacked Yes | 0c | 52,870$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…fa63backed Yes | 0c | 50,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f9…432abacked Yes | 0c | 44,640$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…6de6backed Yes | 0c | 38,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…9799backed Yes | 0c | 32,769$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…2836backed Yes | 0c | 32,722$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…3838backed Yes | 0c | 32,673$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…7862backed Yes | 0c | 32,624$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…ffcfbacked Yes | 0c | 32,575$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 29,254$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…6d10backed Yes | 0c | 27,660$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…7e37backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…a3cfbacked Yes | 0c | 19,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…0483backed Yes | 0c | 19,323$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…ac8ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…01b1backed Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad27…bde4backed Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…be25backed Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…2057backed Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…43e9backed Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24b…c1e4backed Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…d6afbacked Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…163cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…314abacked Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213b…aae1backed Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…682ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…6f2ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,843$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…3f33backed Yes | 0c | 18,832$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…a582backed Yes | 0c | 18,825$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…b85dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,825$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…16c1backed Yes | 0c | 18,812$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…b296backed Yes | 0c | 18,810$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…ac6bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,804$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…6c25backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb8…180bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb836…9387backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdd…9589backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…8d05backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…dac1backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2327…aedcbacked Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…907fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…58acbacked Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e5…ae22backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…0413backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…c9b5backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909c…680cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…c5c1backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…c5babacked Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…d1e9backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…5410backed Yes | 0c | 18,788$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea2…1893backed Yes | 0c | 18,757$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…1d7dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,467$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1852backed Yes | 0c | 18,467$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…9a67backed Yes | 0c | 18,270$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…9e59backed Yes | 0c | 18,237$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…5102backed Yes | 0c | 18,237$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1afc…a669backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…c27cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…6007backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c02…5904backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…9cfdbacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…b77abacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…3280backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…6981backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…f755backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…48cabacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…ea14backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…adefbacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…c1d1backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…6276backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0be…9062backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…81d6backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…2e61backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0387…7a41backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…59c0backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…75f5backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b7…3c8abacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…d43abacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…5713backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…f3f2backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…cfefbacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…a5a5backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…6999backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…59c4backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…7383backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…9732backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…d0aebacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…b2e7backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…8933backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f0…cda4backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…8092backed Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…cd6bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.