TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06ac…79ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Commodities, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 57 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5054%27 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31,246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$15,597.55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,876Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$5,274.64
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$1,478.67
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.82
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,651.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,325.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$5,200.7
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,804.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$1,230
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$1,630
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.98
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,827.06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.96
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+875.6%+$1,794.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.7%+$2,328.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,419.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$5,250.53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+246.3%+$2,264.64
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$1,912.36
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,614Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$4,303.96
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,928.27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,449.59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$935
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$113.37
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$190.74
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$136.75
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$155.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,532Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.6%+$2,429.25
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$743.82
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$445.25
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.3%+$423.65
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.7%+$1,625.84
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,412Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.9%+$2,592.95
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.7%+$149.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.4%+$40,323.11
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$5,787.36
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,656Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+90.6%+$6,027.37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,743Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$2,599
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27,643Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+41%+$11,323.13
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,948.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$1,537.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,743.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,828.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$1,322.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,771Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$2,384.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$4,500.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$2,791.17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,734Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$966
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$2,119.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$1,640
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,394
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,860Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$2,139.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20,257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$6,138.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$1,450
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,919Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$730.69
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16,601Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$4,848.72
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Starmer out by June 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.2
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.93
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,039.99
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,360
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,048Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$3,751.99
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$528.06
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+34%+$254
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$269.98
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$370
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jesus Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$390
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$680
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,398.6
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,504.88
UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klosebacked Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,760.6
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,702Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$1,682.42
UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hillbacked Lucindo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$185
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+111.6%+$2,109.99
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$861
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Bounty: MIBR vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$179.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.