Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f4833193b8303cfa74a35571e1e05ab301d5804360aa03e5cd9cdc027add8fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 30c | 20,060$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 47c | 15,000$7,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 46c | 10,566$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +101%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 46c | 9,188$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 52c | 8,918$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked Yes | 29c | 8,207$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 63c | 6,547$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.35 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…8139backed Yes | 39c | 5,671$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…e4dbbacked No | 57c | 5,574$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +231%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17c…0c29backed No | 65c | 5,391$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…05bbbacked No | 75c | 4,690$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 5c | 4,680$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 13c | 4,618$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.58 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked No | 54c | 4,268$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…f007backed Yes | 42c | 4,209$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…fef1backed Yes | 36c | 3,892$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 55c | 3,805$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.41 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…bb70backed Yes | 35c | 2,963$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…0f0ebacked No | 60c | 2,849$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47a…2f05backed Yes | 38c | 2,827$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed No | 47c | 2,789$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 51c | 2,711$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed No | 67c | 2,651$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.69 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…3e20backed No | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…32acbacked Yes | 41c | 2,519$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 2,185$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.93 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 43c | 2,178$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.15 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 47c | 2,164$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.64 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…8ad8backed Yes | 33c | 2,003$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…eb78backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 43c | 1,954$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.02 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 32c | 1,876$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +440.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 71c | 1,774$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…be1ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,761$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed No | 49c | 1,737$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.38 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…bcdfbacked Yes | 51c | 1,693$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 39c | 1,692$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.77 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,686$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked No | 67c | 1,570$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 64c | 1,569$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.12 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…2bfcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,540$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,520$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.75 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,402$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.04 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 55c | 1,260$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.8 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 73c | 1,170$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…75b5backed No | 52c | 1,167$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 17c | 1,100$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Yes | 44c | 1,088$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 47c | 1,080$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.21 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 32c | 1,068$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,011$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.42 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…c215backed No | 74c | 977$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 47c | 961.37$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.01 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 946.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada0…8e34backed Yes | 33c | 927.98$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 34c | 839.89$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.62 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…a598backed No | 54c | 810$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…c55dbacked Yes | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 48c | 799.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 44c | 794.13$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 67c | 722.99$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 21c | 707.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 27c | 700.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f7…8058backed No | 55c | 685.33$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 27c | 642.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed Yes | 53c | 623.93$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 64c | 621.84$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.92 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…928fbacked No | 50c | 615$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…a409backed No | 59c | 615$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…9070backed No | 67c | 585.49$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0f29backed No | 43c | 583.79$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed Yes | 51c | 547$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed Yes | 48c | 538.52$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed Yes | 65c | 514.97$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 4c | 514.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 59c | 504.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 50c | 500.01$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed No | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 67c | 482.09$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 37c | 473.08$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.34 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 74c | 466.38$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked No | 43c | 466.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 48c | 460$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 45c | 457.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 48c | 444.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked No | 71c | 431.64$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…0deabacked No | 65c | 419.28$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…f187backed Yes | 28c | 415.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…7f61backed Yes | 19c | 405.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed Yes | 48c | 400.05$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +162%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 57c | 400$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 39c | 398.4$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 58c | 380.95$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 35c | 377.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?this page
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No won
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.