TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4272…10c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$212
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$147.84
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$150.8
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$3,982.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$313.65
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.5
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.26
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$164.38
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$471.44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.3
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$391.73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.84
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$30.54
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,415.98
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,021.82
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8,799.97
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group Dbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,239.97
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,950.03
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,500
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$1,947.63
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$9.15
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.07
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$322.57
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winnerbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,495Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+82%+$4,504.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110
All 16 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick31cpaid+186.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+74.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+309.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+309.8%+$2,236.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump hug anyone at UFC Freedom 250?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$345.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.