TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,149,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,149,064 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 792 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No68c200,397$136,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,414.9231039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Yes31c200,000$62,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,999.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+103.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes31c70,727$21,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,132.3753150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes4c32,795$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,571.466524.6%16 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No45c24,131$10,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,814.9121842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes72c17,893$12,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,963.454555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…60eebacked Yes49c17,149$8,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,754.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes7c17,085$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,930.0320548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes18c14,966$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,240.7996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes4c13,902$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,413.63745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed No68c12,927$8,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,817.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa34b…6118backed Yes43c11,025$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,275.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes7c10,584$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,847.962035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Yes31c10,146$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,997.952630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No67c9,699$6,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.165244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes31c9,527$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,525.981136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43eb…3d85backed Yes39c9,009$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,508.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes35c8,810$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.2418056.1%101 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes44c8,336$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,634.711030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes6c7,816$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,323.3413649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes19c7,702$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,254.727833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed No69c7,440$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,124.625149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes7c7,214$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,708.232924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes7c6,825$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,317.241421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c6,518$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,217.183929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Yes10c6,403$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,748.811450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8d…4537backed No69c6,335$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.11850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes33c6,245$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.531,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed No67c6,148$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.252951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e9…150dbacked Yes19c6,024$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,894.74850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes5c5,832$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,521.5245732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb064…0b34backed Yes8c5,808$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,350.99650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+207.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8172…abeabacked Yes15c5,235$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,462.872725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes4c5,021$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,826.38933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+214.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969b…db70backed No0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes5c4,978$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.59812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+140.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed No11c4,560$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4712…29ddbacked No69c4,332$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.19955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9c…e63ebacked Yes5c4,166$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+820.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Yes24c4,128$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.063455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes8c4,019$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,687.691118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31da…8664backed Yes5c4,006$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,813.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes5c3,728$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.291526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Yes4c3,700$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,554.631435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+137.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5b…e58abacked Yes15c3,600$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+116.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb873…4c3fbacked Yes28c3,440$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+263%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b25…65e3backed Yes5c3,291$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.451100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes4c3,142$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.751414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+201%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes18c3,131$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5604951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x886d…ed34backed Yes6c3,106$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,654.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…0596backed Yes32c3,106$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes3c3,020$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.39336.1%2 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x139b…7c60backed Yes17c3,011$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+195.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e9…df05backed Yes31c2,903$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.231040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c2,899$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.391,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd042…5a30backed Yes6c2,809$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,685.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes5c2,755$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+293.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0f9…ad68backed Yes23c2,743$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+327%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7185…41f3backed Yes5c2,660$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,826%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Yes4c2,608$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.36145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215d…95a6backed Yes8c2,606$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+528.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes7c2,596$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.772070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+75.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1136…705ebacked Yes5c2,589$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+885.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0a…8911backed Yes6c2,552$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,654.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb32…0035backed Yes24c2,514$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.211070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Yes12c2,507$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.814245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d74…2759backed Yes11c2,402$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.8323545.1%106 W · 129 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789d…5bfbbacked Yes4c2,400$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.591100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,339%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes19c2,234$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.926459.4%38 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed Yes22c2,220$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.77245.8%33 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes5c2,201$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.77035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes4c2,121$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.5744949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b1…2e30backed Yes3c2,065$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.791100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74c6…39c7backed Yes3c2,032$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.21100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick3cpaid+3,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.46666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc714…399bbacked Yes31c1,994$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+138.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c1,909$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.03137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+101.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…0b08backed Yes14c1,901$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.823438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8785…99f9backed Yes3c1,892$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.71100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick3cpaid+3,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef60…87b3backed Yes3c1,877$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.181100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9975…158abacked Yes32c1,874$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a0…5e22backed Yes5c1,873$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,775.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes31c1,857$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+340.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8918…ef73backed Yes5c1,808$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaadc…a559backed Yes16c1,800$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+89.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3995…2673backed Yes6c1,795$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+792.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf671…aecfbacked Yes4c1,728$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.07425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+541%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes8c1,712$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.023046.7%14 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+55.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes9c1,701$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.442343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0730…a73fbacked Yes5c1,678$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+825.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ec…6373backed Yes32c1,678$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+209%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95df…d4debacked Yes24c1,663$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2631100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+315.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes31c1,627$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.371,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d64…5052backed Yes5c1,603$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+517.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1d…8a73backed Yes4c1,600$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.021154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+254.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11bf…770dbacked Yes8c1,551$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.883751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+52.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No49c1,542$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.355040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ee…89a4backed Yes72c1,541$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.833666.7%24 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdfd3…820dbacked Yes6c1,531$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee7…f2b0backed Yes6c1,531$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.