MLB · resolved market
Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37292f1ec14dd702a9e76ff979410f921f3fd50271da2204f2cdce6efab94f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,705 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 18,804$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Yes | 1c | 15,249$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…c304backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 7,098$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,825$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f8…446cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Yes | 1c | 5,968$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…9f01backed Yes | 1c | 5,722$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8557backed Yes | 1c | 5,050$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +441.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a0bfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,990$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed Yes | 1c | 4,963$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 1c | 4,484$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 4,250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a9…a919backed Yes | 1c | 4,181$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…aa36backed Yes | 0c | 4,104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…cc4fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,040$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…1b55backed Yes | 1c | 3,825$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 0c | 3,809$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…9b98backed Yes | 1c | 3,650$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…68c7backed Yes | 0c | 3,542$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed Yes | 0c | 3,496$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,177$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +448.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…4948backed Yes | 3c | 3,007$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d2…26abbacked Yes | 2c | 2,880$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 2,793$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…c19abacked Yes | 2c | 2,587$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Yes | 1c | 2,546$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…5635backed Yes | 2c | 2,522$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb493…f36dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,396$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…67c1backed Yes | 1c | 2,333$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,217$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…f236backed Yes | 1c | 2,151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6892…3337backed Yes | 2c | 2,002$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,846$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…1153backed Yes | 2c | 1,780$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…95ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,765$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…2666backed Yes | 1c | 1,718$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…40fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,703$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 1c | 1,679$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…9aaebacked Yes | 2c | 1,654$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…980cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 1c | 1,593$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,580$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,553$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34c…2e0dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,525$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…98d2backed Yes | 1c | 1,513$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…524ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,453$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…f194backed Yes | 1c | 1,439$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…d766backed Yes | 1c | 1,413$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…7f9abacked Yes | 2c | 1,290$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfd…085ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,276$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…12b6backed Yes | 2c | 1,274$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 1c | 1,236$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…a6f1backed Yes | 2c | 1,219$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…b9f8backed Yes | 2c | 1,175$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…1313backed Yes | 2c | 1,169$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 2c | 1,096$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b58…2c78backed Yes | 2c | 1,034$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…e2fabacked Yes | 2c | 1,012$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…f9fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5e…846ebacked Yes | 1c | 985.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +283.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…10d9backed Yes | 3c | 970.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…281bbacked Yes | 2c | 871.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…af50backed Yes | 1c | 845.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…fe7ebacked Yes | 2c | 752$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d7…1d59backed Yes | 2c | 665.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…6017backed Yes | 2c | 626.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…b232backed Yes | 2c | 473.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?this page
- Will Australia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Cuba win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Great Britain win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Israel win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Nicaragua win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.