MLB · resolved market
Will Colombia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e57121c3f747ac664c07c6c8e9ce27a3ce551f4bdb242903e03a432e902a36b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,727 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 5 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 99,641$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Yes | 0c | 17,446$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,907$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…d766backed Yes | 2c | 2,655$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,244$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?this page
- Will Australia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Cuba win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Great Britain win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Israel win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Nicaragua win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.