MLB · resolved market
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a9b1a112b60d11bd9abc74c12eb6e53bd8e520498e858bebbf8a728ffe59de1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $649,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $649,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 68,458$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 7c | 37,409$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 0c | 28,806$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Yes | 2c | 25,868$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…0b34backed Yes | 4c | 19,553$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…48dcbacked Yes | 6c | 18,764$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb85…bf3ebacked Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 15,537$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 11,429$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 4c | 10,135$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.01 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 1c | 9,739$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 9,314$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Yes | 0c | 9,139$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 6c | 8,888$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 8c | 8,761$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.79 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…c231backed Yes | 0c | 8,197$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ef0fbacked Yes | 8c | 8,000$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 5c | 7,738$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 10c | 7,380$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 0c | 6,930$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…8905backed Yes | 0c | 6,348$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed Yes | 8c | 5,706$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…c842backed Yes | 1c | 5,323$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,982$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.31 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 4,774$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,630$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…6de6backed Yes | 6c | 4,595$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes | 7c | 4,580$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…e58abacked Yes | 8c | 4,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7f22backed Yes | 1c | 4,440$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 4,156$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…2336backed Yes | 9c | 3,959$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,703$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…f4bbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,689$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…e851backed Yes | 3c | 3,498$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 3,476$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…a559backed Yes | 3c | 3,317$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…e2b1backed Yes | 2c | 3,294$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…06f1backed Yes | 4c | 2,780$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,679$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,605$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…95a6backed Yes | 4c | 2,525$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +528.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4e…cf40backed Yes | 4c | 2,501$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 2c | 2,496$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa367…6c02backed Yes | 4c | 2,423$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf169…1611backed Yes | 5c | 2,395$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…fc01backed Yes | 4c | 2,361$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…f72bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,316$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…68c7backed Yes | 7c | 2,303$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2a…4ab7backed Yes | 5c | 2,183$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…65a5backed Yes | 3c | 2,009$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…5a82backed Yes | 2c | 1,934$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed Yes | 10c | 1,878$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…e2fabacked Yes | 8c | 1,876$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…ce2abacked Yes | 8c | 1,824$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 4c | 1,802$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Yes | 3c | 1,753$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…f5c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,750$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,674$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…3b00backed Yes | 1c | 1,629$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…3d98backed Yes | 8c | 1,570$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bc…2450backed Yes | 10c | 1,569$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…8befbacked Yes | 4c | 1,543$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed Yes | 7c | 1,471$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…8859backed Yes | 6c | 1,463$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…921bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,433$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…78bebacked Yes | 7c | 1,389$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…d766backed Yes | 2c | 1,366$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…67c1backed Yes | 3c | 1,354$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…b00ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,258$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…0db8backed Yes | 3c | 1,188$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…2a14backed Yes | 9c | 1,128$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 4c | 1,127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed Yes | 8c | 1,118$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3983…5a55backed Yes | 7c | 1,101$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…40fcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,093$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…f757backed Yes | 6c | 1,061$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 1,027$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…8d03backed Yes | 8c | 1,021$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,020$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…f9fdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…3337backed Yes | 4c | 993.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Yes | 4c | 950$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdc…23edbacked Yes | 5c | 931.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…19e2backed Yes | 11c | 899.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 5c | 759.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd343…724ebacked Yes | 7c | 746.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +515.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…ef38backed Yes | 3c | 741.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…6de6backed Yes | 7c | 737.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a97…6313backed Yes | 7c | 735.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…4aabbacked Yes | 7c | 735.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…268fbacked Yes | 7c | 735.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 3c | 735.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f45…80e2backed Yes | 4c | 726.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…3e4fbacked Yes | 4c | 724$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Yes | 5c | 717.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…95ffbacked Yes | 7c | 716.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?this page
- Will Australia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Cuba win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Great Britain win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Israel win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Nicaragua win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.