MLB · resolved market
Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9995378ff081d04a00029c86b7a4bff279921fbe988a351cbd219d1875890c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,868 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 28,454$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.45 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 20,606$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 3c | 12,913$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.85 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,861$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 2c | 9,595$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +374.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa5…1c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,999$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Yes | 1c | 8,117$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 7,948$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 2c | 5,875$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 2c | 5,677$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…f681backed Yes | 4c | 5,432$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,757$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefd…902fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,255$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 1c | 3,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…5d85backed Yes | 4c | 3,186$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,841$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +448.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,701$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,458$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,285$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 1c | 2,258$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +293.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 1c | 2,257$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…9b28backed Yes | 1c | 2,238$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…358dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,117$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…8905backed Yes | 2c | 2,077$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…8a2abacked Yes | 2c | 2,077$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e6b7backed Yes | 2c | 2,074$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,907$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8989…ce23backed Yes | 5c | 1,809$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,808$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…6a78backed Yes | 1c | 1,799$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe108…04f2backed Yes | 4c | 1,793$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Yes | 2c | 1,730$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…8522backed Yes | 4c | 1,689$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…8352backed Yes | 1c | 1,672$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 1,635$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…9647backed Yes | 2c | 1,626$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…524ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,613$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…cf0cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,590$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…e9e5backed Yes | 4c | 1,565$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…ccadbacked Yes | 2c | 1,528$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 3c | 1,528$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…8a73backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…941bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,496$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfd…085ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,439$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…aecfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,293$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +541%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Yes | 16c | 1,286$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Yes | 2c | 1,215$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…4865backed Yes | 4c | 1,210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…8541backed Yes | 1c | 1,127$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 1c | 1,121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 2c | 1,051$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +201%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…4c4abacked Yes | 4c | 968$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…5052backed Yes | 5c | 921$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +517.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 819.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…67c1backed Yes | 3c | 799.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…bff4backed Yes | 2c | 795.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa450…00dbbacked Yes | 3c | 782.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…4180backed Yes | 4c | 762$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…2673backed Yes | 4c | 756$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +792.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f88…644bbacked Yes | 4c | 742$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…73e8backed Yes | 1c | 691.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be7…a8debacked Yes | 4c | 671$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 656.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…b407backed Yes | 4c | 655$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes | 2c | 642.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…3ba7backed Yes | 2c | 559.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Yes | 2c | 557.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…da92backed Yes | 5c | 480.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 4c | 277.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…f46fbacked Yes | 4c | 276.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?this page
- Will Australia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Cuba win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Great Britain win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Israel win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Nicaragua win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.