TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3587…23ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT7244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.88
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+262.2%+$917.84
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$301.75
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the San Diego Padres win the NL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.59
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+107.1%+$67.03
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$24.96
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$276.29
Spread: Padres (-1.5)backed Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Tigers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Astros vs. Marinersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$488.89
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.86
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,046.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,411Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,679.96
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,492.86
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$669.7
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190.96
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$1,295.01
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$365.73
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$374.57
Spread: England (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$353.73
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$1,426.91
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$37.86
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,577Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$4,163.48
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$64.28
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+102.1%+$204.19
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+270.4%+$270.37
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.2%+$38.21
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+67.1%+$67.14
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$146.6
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+52.5%+$105.02
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25.5%+$127.74
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$312.82
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+45.9%+$137.67
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$337.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+270.4%+$270.37
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.2%+$671.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+488.2%+$488.24
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$540.74
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$506.15
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.7%+$277.33
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+59.5%+$632.84
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+178%+$1,246.19
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+25%+$25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+76.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-74.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$903Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+94.5%+$853
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.