MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa8533bb7bb5d0b7da64caa1de7ba8b0276af2e73be6a4d58e6ddcc055d63304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Dodgers, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 128,888$51,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,332.78 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 88,574$35,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,144.17 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 60c | 59,000$35,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,400 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 55c | 51,290$28,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,073.47 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Dodgers | 60c | 38,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Dodgers | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 60c | 16,995$10,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,197.13 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Dodgers | 79c | 16,019$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers | 60c | 12,892$7,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,735.2 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Dodgers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 9,231$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,523.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 9,118$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,136.38 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Dodgers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.93 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,148$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.55 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dodgers | 76c | 5,060$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.84 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Dodgers | 60c | 5,030$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.2 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.94 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 4,979$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.97 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 4,553$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.59 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dodgers | 59c | 4,444$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.93 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Dodgers | 67c | 3,500$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 3,300$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Dodgers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.98 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Dodgers | 69c | 2,491$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.57 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Dodgers | 59c | 2,177$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.2 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Dodgers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Diamondbacks | 21c | 1,884$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.87 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…8b96backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,561$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 1,557$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.45 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,502$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,481$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.49 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Dodgers | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.89 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,210$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Diamondbacks | 12c | 1,110$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.6 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,097$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,088$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,050$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.1 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Diamondbacks | 29c | 1,020$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.2 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,003$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers | 73c | 964.04$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Dodgers | 68c | 879.9$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 23c | 868$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.78 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 810.07$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.77 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Dodgers | 60c | 774.56$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.33 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 760.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.59 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Dodgers | 59c | 749.98$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.49 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Dodgers | 60c | 719.87$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 58c | 716.98$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.13 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 58c | 675.8$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Dodgers | 56c | 650.88$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Diamondbacks | 8c | 631.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Dodgers | 70c | 609.88$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.93 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 599.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 595$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 7c | 508.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.61 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 504$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 487$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 57c | 473.74$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.03 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 469.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.99 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 459.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.34 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Dodgers | 67c | 447.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 4c | 436.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.86 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Diamondbacks | 28c | 359.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.69 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dodgers | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 337.17$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Diamondbacks | 15c | 317$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.19 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Dodgers | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 290.24$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 267.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Dodgers | 75c | 266.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Dodgers | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Dodgers | 57c | 241.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…ddd7backed Dodgers | 59c | 233.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.82 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Diamondbacks | 7c | 231.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 28c | 214.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 214$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…3d9cbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 210.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…580bbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 203.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Dodgers | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Dodgers | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 182.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.92 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Dodgers | 60c | 175$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Dodgers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 171.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.