TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3389…62d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST8562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+488.2%+$82.83
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$188.6
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$880
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+77.6%+$437
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,350
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,160
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$205
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+68.3%+$710
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$560
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$525
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$184
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.88
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$158
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST4158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$176
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$186
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$186
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$276.22
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$108.42
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
Rockets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.6
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$22
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.9
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.14
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100.7%+$50.16
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$162.41
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$115
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$44.5
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$395
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$103.85
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$52.18
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$704
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$799.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47%+$279.85
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+101.2%+$155.9
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$585
Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Aston Villa vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+57.1%+$545
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$43.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Getafe vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.7
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$831
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$86
Will Barcelona vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$268
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,680
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$320
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$33.22
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$1,825
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.49
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$478.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$372
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+41.1%+$188.87
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$176
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$168
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,125
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$980
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Athletic Bilbao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,484.8
Will Monaco win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$325
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+82.1%+$13.36
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$70
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$39
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$275
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Browns vs. Ravensbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$733.07
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$379
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.02
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$78
Cardinals vs. Saints: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
All 15 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.41per pick64cpaid-71.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$117.08
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+30.1%+$54.27
Will Shutterstock (SSTK) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33.72
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$76.11
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$46.56
Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$317.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 57.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.75
Florida International vs. Western Kentuckybacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$869
O/U 56.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$220
Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-3.5)backed Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter vs. Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.69
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$146
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+85.5%+$70.17
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,169.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+119%+$326
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Game 4)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$124
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$238
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.