NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93996b7df37408d4dd3ceb9dfcb85a64c8953f9be7a17a39c9ea2334b361aa2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Grizzlies, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $879,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $886,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Grizzlies | 27c | 412,198$110,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,287.53 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Warriors | 73c | 110,000$80,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,700 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Grizzlies | 20c | 70,000$13,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,650 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Warriors | 73c | 50,052$36,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,513.49 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 0c | 42,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Warriors | 73c | 38,675$28,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,442.36 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Warriors | 73c | 35,686$26,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,568.45 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Warriors | 74c | 25,258$18,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,520.81 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Warriors | 74c | 25,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…ace5backed Warriors | 74c | 23,711$17,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 73c | 22,222$16,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.94 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Warriors | 79c | 20,908$16,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.97 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Grizzlies | 0c | 17,385$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…03dfbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 16,530$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 0c | 16,466$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…a171backed Grizzlies | 0c | 15,585$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Warriors | 73c | 14,000$10,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 13,651$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.75 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Warriors | 74c | 11,782$8,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.62 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 73c | 11,468$8,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.44 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 74c | 10,466$7,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.21 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…62ebbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 10,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.93 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Grizzlies | 18c | 9,850$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Warriors | 76c | 9,646$7,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.11 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…6b3fbacked Warriors | 79c | 8,737$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Warriors | 76c | 8,487$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.91 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 74c | 8,344$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.5 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 7,567$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3c20backed Grizzlies | 25c | 7,520$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.09 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a7a0backed Grizzlies | 25c | 6,802$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 0c | 6,415$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Grizzlies | 23c | 5,900$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Grizzlies | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 73c | 4,586$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 78c | 4,065$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.74 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 3,786$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Grizzlies | 26c | 3,745$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.96 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 74c | 3,557$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Warriors | 75c | 3,512$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 74c | 3,457$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.01 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…12e2backed Warriors | 75c | 3,335$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…d6e1backed Grizzlies | 16c | 3,233$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.24 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Grizzlies | 1c | 3,034$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…ba5fbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…8d9bbacked Warriors | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 2,670$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…a8e2backed Warriors | 75c | 2,668$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 74c | 2,641$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.12 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Grizzlies | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 74c | 2,470$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.32 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Grizzlies | 27c | 2,263$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…ee0cbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 2,002$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…4f2fbacked Warriors | 75c | 2,002$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…e36ebacked Warriors | 75c | 2,001$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…285dbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…5823backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…dc36backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,780$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Warriors | 73c | 1,707$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…6f0cbacked Warriors | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 1,455$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.74 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…b898backed Grizzlies | 4c | 1,275$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Grizzlies | 24c | 1,265$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…bfd4backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,202$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Warriors | 75c | 1,200$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Warriors | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Warriors | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Warriors | 75c | 1,085$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.25 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 74c | 1,044$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Warriors | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37d…b5b3backed Warriors | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…6f72backed Grizzlies | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 74c | 1,000$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Warriors | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Grizzlies | 21c | 999.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 20c | 953.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Grizzlies | 26c | 937.46$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.74 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Grizzlies | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 73c | 851.51$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.01 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…915abacked Grizzlies | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…523bbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 799.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Grizzlies | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Warriors | 75c | 760$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Grizzlies | 24c | 681.41$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…f323backed Warriors | 74c | 680$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…23a4backed Grizzlies | 26c | 680$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd31…39a8backed Warriors | 77c | 640.58$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.56 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…8805backed Warriors | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Grizzlies | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Grizzlies | 25c | 584.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…8723backed Grizzlies | 23c | 561.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Grizzlies | 25c | 556$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Warriorsthis page
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.