TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9599…3c20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+229%+$155.43
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$331.57
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+203%+$33.5
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$234.67
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$79.83
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+270.4%+$58.4
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.87
Pacers vs. Nuggetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.78
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.29
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.5%+$26.5
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$39.87
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$344
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+150.2%+$115.44
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.58
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$925
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+76.8%+$58.62
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$72
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$228
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$185
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.