TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Jazz, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$607,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$652,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc4c8…fed1backed Jazz4c118,800$4,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,203.693748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz4c60,000$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Jazz3c43,194$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.268038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Jazz16c24,375$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90010930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jazz16c21,515$3,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,486.3636148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz0c15,990$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.358783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd076…d2efbacked Jazz14c10,900$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Jazz0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Jazz15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9812334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz17c7,100$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2071,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…5ffabacked Jazz16c7,019$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz2c5,359$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7765218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Jazz14c5,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz18c4,770$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.212,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Jazz17c4,733$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.4510235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz9c4,432$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz16c4,146$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.542,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz15c4,002$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.2961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Jazz17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jazz17c3,529$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.7848944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Jazz17c2,769$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.7534942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jazz16c2,629$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa5…3f52backed Jazz1c2,510$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203625%9 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…dd71backed Jazz18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e12…425dbacked Jazz18c2,400$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-82.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b92…64efbacked Jazz18c2,400$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz11c2,305$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Jazz18c2,249$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6924330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jazz14c2,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27017931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc09…95e2backed Jazz1c1,919$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Jazz16c1,824$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.647739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz17c1,772$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5985742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Jazz15c1,551$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1361851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Jazz17c1,400$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Jazz16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…3c20backed Jazz4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz16c1,000$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6775347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Jazz4c900$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8811744.4%52 W · 65 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa244…4732backed Jazz17c900$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves59c813.35$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.871,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed Jazz13c769.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d1b…5940backed Jazz17c753$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Jazz7c716.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…7eb5backed Jazz22c701$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.131330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Jazz16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c0…0afebacked Jazz17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Jazz17c588$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9619845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Jazz16c575.19$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0324634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfae…ff20backed Jazz17c563$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d79…4da1backed Jazz18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003625%9 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz11c547.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.237011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…0407backed Jazz7c520$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.43333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0480…0a91backed Timberwolves80c513.43$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.435450%27 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Jazz6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305714%8 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Jazz16c499.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.984831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Jazz17c470.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042744.5%190 W · 237 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Jazz14c410$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.864139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz15c400.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.632,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6a…37bfbacked Jazz17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f66…6d2dbacked Timberwolves78c386.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.414647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3554…9645backed Jazz17c364$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Jazz14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a3…1779backed Timberwolves77c356.68$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.541668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30d0…0256backed Jazz17c346$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x349e…1654backed Jazz7c333.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.310431.7%33 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Jazz16c325$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5228940.8%118 W · 171 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Jazz23c321.36$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.94037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Jazz16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485757.9%33 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd390…dc62backed Jazz18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99c…6ec3backed Jazz18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fb…920cbacked Jazz17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408456%47 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde41…4878backed Jazz26c231.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Jazz14c213.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9426933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41e…2dfcbacked Jazz14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Jazz49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811129.7%33 W · 78 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Jazz49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988030%24 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Jazz15c199.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8643321.2%92 W · 341 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…638abacked Jazz17c194$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1d…0374backed Jazz17c194$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a36…d24dbacked Jazz17c185$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Jazz17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027145.4%123 W · 148 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c02…b4d4backed Jazz22c168.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6233639%131 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Jazz16c160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.624835.1%87 W · 161 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Jazz14c157.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.585740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0986…9c4bbacked Jazz13c154.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Jazz9c150.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb087…3b07backed Jazz15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.64025%10 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Jazz16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418239%71 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Timberwolves76c131.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0422467.9%152 W · 72 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Jazz16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5908…cbc1backed Jazz16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207926.6%21 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b0…ee7cbacked Jazz16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Jazz17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023042.6%98 W · 132 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5284…27f5backed Jazz18c111.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd379…1dd7backed Jazz18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…0fd1backed Jazz18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Jazz15c111$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6524946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.