TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60ba…dd71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
22
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$476
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$760
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$288
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+162.8%+$1,052.99
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$189
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$252
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$325
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+62.6%+$384.99
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$380
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$450
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$209
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25.2%+$40.2
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+37%+$108
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$350
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.