NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f4b1cd367aa0abbb6c56d9f9270e5e8806a6f35deec96ace73ff812870d864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,773,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,803,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,773,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,957 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Warriors | 65c | 234,475$151,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,954.07 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs | 25c | 60,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 59c | 55,515$32,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,795.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Spurs | 42c | 54,704$22,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,963.37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 39c | 54,572$21,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,200.08 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Warriors | 39c | 53,351$20,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,512.07 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Spurs | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs | 62c | 50,000$30,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,769.85 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Warriors | 40c | 49,296$19,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,807.31 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Spurs | 61c | 43,413$26,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,481.83 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Spurs | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,600 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Warriors | 39c | 38,470$15,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,466.7 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 40c | 36,980$14,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,031.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Spurs | 61c | 30,443$18,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,645.51 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Warriors | 26c | 29,016$7,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,420.03 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Spurs | 50c | 27,239$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,749.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Spurs | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Spurs | 0c | 22,967$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Spurs | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Spurs | 1c | 16,833$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Spurs | 62c | 16,186$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Warriors | 36c | 16,130$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,321.56 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 38c | 15,955$6,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,812.32 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Spurs | 64c | 15,700$10,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,047.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 39c | 15,619$6,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,527.29 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs | 65c | 15,395$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Spurs | 34c | 15,213$5,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,243.27 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Spurs | 61c | 15,082$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Warriors | 59c | 14,888$8,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,084.09 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Warriors | 38c | 14,726$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,183.31 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 44c | 13,955$6,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,798.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors | 38c | 13,884$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,559.63 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Spurs | 80c | 13,721$10,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,942.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Spurs | 35c | 10,906$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.35 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Spurs | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 63c | 9,667$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Spurs | 52c | 9,666$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 59c | 9,580$5,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…6732backed Spurs | 62c | 8,800$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Spurs | 54c | 8,330$4,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.15 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Spurs | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Warriors | 63c | 7,750$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.91 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Spurs | 37c | 7,626$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Spurs | 58c | 7,562$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Warriors | 44c | 7,432$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.33 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Spurs | 63c | 6,551$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.31 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Spurs | 63c | 6,540$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.81 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs | 35c | 6,428$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.53 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Warriors | 41c | 6,100$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.76 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 1c | 5,575$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Spurs | 34c | 5,575$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.79 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 35c | 5,555$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.75 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Warriors | 39c | 5,500$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.94 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Spurs | 59c | 5,117$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.92 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Warriors | 36c | 4,861$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.11 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 10c | 4,814$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.82 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Spurs | 64c | 4,693$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Spurs | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…512cbacked Spurs | 61c | 4,433$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 37c | 4,367$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 69c | 4,177$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.67 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…804bbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,175$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 35c | 4,173$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.48 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 53c | 4,083$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Spurs | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Spurs | 56c | 4,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Spurs | 0c | 3,898$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…1b59backed Spurs | 68c | 3,800$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Spurs | 60c | 3,600$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Spurs | 64c | 3,580$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.2 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…4421backed Spurs | 33c | 3,568$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Warriors | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…7e32backed Warriors | 38c | 3,400$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Spurs | 31c | 3,213$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…7d1cbacked Spurs | 22c | 3,186$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Spurs | 26c | 3,143$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 37c | 3,124$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.07 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…8816backed Warriors | 29c | 3,065$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Spurs | 36c | 3,045$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.02 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Warriors | 37c | 3,030$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.28 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spurs | 63c | 3,015$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.3 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Spurs | 41c | 3,000$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.99 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,993$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.3 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Warriors | 35c | 2,970$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.81 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs | 63c | 2,881$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.78 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…bee6backed Spurs | 43c | 2,809$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Spurs | 61c | 2,789$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Warriors | 37c | 2,705$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.15 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Warriors | 39c | 2,686$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.35 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…7e0bbacked Warriors | 38c | 2,630$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…34ccbacked Spurs | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…469cbacked Spurs | 72c | 2,600$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…fe44backed Warriors | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Warriors | 36c | 2,600$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.94 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Spurs | 60c | 2,509$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Spurs | 14c | 2,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.15 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.