TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x575a…bba6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Stocks, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT12529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28,349Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+233.2%+$66,120.29
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,786.18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8,325
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,337.13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,796Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$11,204.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,500
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.59
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,600
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$4,249.98
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$4,120.5
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$2,049.96
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$975
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.3
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.54
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,587Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,939.66
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.46
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.56
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+174%+$3,810
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,900
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.65
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,855Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,854.78
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$9,251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+692.3%+$64,045.24
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$3,071.43
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,131.58
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,500
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,774.96
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$975
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,658.99
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$6,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,351.24
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$9,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,800.66
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,475
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$7,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,175.44
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,700
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.39
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,348.28
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160
All 24 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,349.99
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$4,000
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,508.77
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059.98
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,908Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5,619.45
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$12,241.38
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Kattar vs. Zalalbacked Kattar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25,000
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$5,361.2
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10,432.39
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$15,376.75
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,001Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15,613.12
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,599.99
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+434.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,947Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+434.7%+$12,809.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$2,142.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$900
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.