UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf352cca74e6854574467bbeaad2c2335b47200caf2e671925b735a879d564d24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Édgar Cháirezof Bruno Silva, Édgar Cháirez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $541,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $639,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Bruno Silva | 53c | 116,110$61,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,366.58 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Bruno Silva | 54c | 102,896$55,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,134.62 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Édgar Cháirez | 58c | 90,917$52,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,255.33 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 70,017$32,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,108.94 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Édgar Cháirez | 46c | 66,154$30,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,723.3 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 64,570$30,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,222.16 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bruno Silva | 44c | 60,164$26,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,706.41 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Édgar Cháirez | 49c | 44,973$22,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,910.64 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Bruno Silva | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…85b5backed Bruno Silva | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruno Silva | 33c | 8,954$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.77 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Bruno Silva | 33c | 7,777$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.41 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bruno Silva | 51c | 5,991$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.14 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…c66cbacked Bruno Silva | 51c | 5,815$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bruno Silva | 51c | 5,776$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.76 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.16 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Édgar Cháirez | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Édgar Cháirez | 46c | 4,697$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bruno Silva | 21c | 4,516$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.9 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Édgar Cháirez | 72c | 3,870$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.98 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Édgar Cháirez | 66c | 3,600$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.88 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bruno Silva | 53c | 3,545$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Bruno Silva | 50c | 3,007$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.26 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 2,719$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Bruno Silva | 23c | 2,655$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 2,094$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bruno Silva | 28c | 2,041$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.22 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 2,032$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.12 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Bruno Silva | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Bruno Silva | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Bruno Silva | 36c | 1,950$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Bruno Silva | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Bruno Silva | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Bruno Silva | 38c | 1,521$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.8 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Bruno Silva | 52c | 1,433$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.12 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Bruno Silva | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Bruno Silva | 52c | 1,306$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 1,275$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.42 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Bruno Silva | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Bruno Silva | 53c | 1,216$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.31 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Bruno Silva | 52c | 1,200$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Édgar Cháirez | 46c | 1,164$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.42 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Bruno Silva | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.49 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Bruno Silva | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Bruno Silva | 53c | 1,100$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.29 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Bruno Silva | 23c | 1,092$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.11 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Édgar Cháirez | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Bruno Silva | 32c | 1,008$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.37 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bruno Silva | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 988$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.76 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 945.83$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Édgar Cháirez | 50c | 899.02$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.02 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Édgar Cháirez | 49c | 894.2$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.04 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 856.98$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.63 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Bruno Silva | 54c | 850$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 842.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Bruno Silva | 47c | 800$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.63 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Bruno Silva | 52c | 793.73$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.74 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Bruno Silva | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Édgar Cháirez | 50c | 754$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Bruno Silva | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Bruno Silva | 43c | 715.03$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Édgar Cháirez | 52c | 706.47$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Édgar Cháirez | 53c | 678.1$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.71 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Bruno Silva | 54c | 660$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Bruno Silva | 54c | 643.85$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 617.55$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.3 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bruno Silva | 35c | 582$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Bruno Silva | 52c | 554.87$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Édgar Cháirez | 57c | 523.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Bruno Silva | 37c | 522.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Édgar Cháirez | 45c | 513.45$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Bruno Silva | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Édgar Cháirez | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 459.97$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed Édgar Cháirez | 46c | 439.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.69 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Bruno Silva | 55c | 439.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 436.07$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.22 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Bruno Silva | 52c | 425.6$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.31 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 418.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Édgar Cháirez | 49c | 406.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Édgar Cháirez | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Bruno Silva | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Bruno Silva | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Bruno Silva | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Édgar Cháirez | 51c | 381$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.55 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Bruno Silva | 53c | 380.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 363$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 358.01$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.74 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Édgar Cháirez | 47c | 357$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Bruno Silva | 53c | 335.66$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Édgar Cháirez | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.