TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3695…c66c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT6549.2%32 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coriabacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,915Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$3,684.57
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zhengbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,039Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$3,059.64
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,940.89
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamensbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,730Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$3,032.65
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Baxbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,937Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$5,049.57
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,866
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,978.24
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,434Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$2,626.08
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12,281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$9,306.71
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$5,309.46
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel Kotovbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+193.2%+$4,146.07
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,832.61
Cattolica: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,750.21
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Sergio Callejonbacked Sergio Callejon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,834.25
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,704.5
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,532Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$9,845.14
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,687.58
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$7,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,789.18
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guobacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,839.75
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,950
Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donskibacked Philip Henning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$898.88
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,630
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,011.55
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,100
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,522.33
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,435.38
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,884.48
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,026.73
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,068
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,994Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,541.85
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,844Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$4,317.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Stormbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$1,713.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.