WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a8205d4bb93272874aa895f9516de07432917c2cf0a59029e610853e0aeb014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Phoenix Mercury, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 20,495$8,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,311.31 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 19,036$9,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,727.94 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 14,355$9,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.02 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 13,613$5,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.92 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 12,880$6,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,744 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 11,086$6,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Seattle Storm | 4c | 10,144$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.74 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 9,734$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.37 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Storm | 39c | 7,647$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.19 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…e073backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 6,450$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Seattle Storm | 4c | 6,376$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Seattle Storm | 36c | 5,087$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.64 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Seattle Storm | 1c | 3,861$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 3,355$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 3,266$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.34 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 2,882$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…c66cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 2,713$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 2,648$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 2,545$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.24 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 2,526$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.01 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 2,489$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Seattle Storm | 20c | 2,380$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 2,150$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 2,098$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.98 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Seattle Storm | 39c | 2,055$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 2,027$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.5 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,923$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.21 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,890$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.3 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Seattle Storm | 60c | 1,674$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 1,603$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 1,565$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.23 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Seattle Storm | 27c | 1,496$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,430$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.68 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,368$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.3 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Seattle Storm | 60c | 1,300$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 1,243$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.48 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 1,205$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.65 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 1,197$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 1,148$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.42 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…f584backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 1,135$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 1,017$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Storm | 1c | 999.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 985.06$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Seattle Storm | 64c | 938.49$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 937.29$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Seattle Storm | 5c | 907.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0649…2dd7backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 806.29$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Seattle Storm | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 788.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 767.38$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.74 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 720.18$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 700$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.81 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…668abacked Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Seattle Storm | 3c | 667.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 648.03$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 641.1$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Seattle Storm | 60c | 640.87$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.97 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 627.46$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.38 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Seattle Storm | 25c | 622.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked Seattle Storm | 33c | 613.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Storm | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 586.74$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 562.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.43 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 557.47$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.08 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 548$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 547.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Seattle Storm | 64c | 510$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 509.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…ff78backed Seattle Storm | 57c | 509.1$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Storm | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 500$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…15e1backed Seattle Storm | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 493.1$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 487$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Seattle Storm | 36c | 480.42$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Seattle Storm | 21c | 480.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 478.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 476.47$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 474.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0b85backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 460.12$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 447.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Seattle Storm | 44c | 436.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Seattle Storm | 8c | 427.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 426.87$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 422.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 411.21$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 403.17$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.23 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Storm | 41c | 361.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 361.21$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.97 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 358.85$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 356.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Stormthis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 161.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.