TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87b8…e1a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 63 out of 100; worst WNBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT9663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$174.21
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$50.16
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$96.58
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.46
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$195.55
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$213.89
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$295.96
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.69
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$186.84
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.83
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$340.69
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$157.43
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.76
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$314.47
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.08
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3375.8%25 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+38.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$111.52
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.12
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$513.88
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.58
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$19.9
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-5.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.59
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,511.16
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.68
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$63.5
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$505.88
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$192.07
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$149.55
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$188.31
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$96.67
Spread: Miami Marlins (-5.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+198.8%+$556.52
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$309.44
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$99.84
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$311.38
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$139.59
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.37
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+215%+$170.73
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.41
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.74
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$105.49
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.4
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$136.92
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-14.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.17
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+324.1%+$418.66
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$205.51
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$143.59
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$133.33
Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$600
BYU Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.8%+$174.39
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$980.22
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$325.61
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$106.33
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+138%+$472.32
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.