MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a2cddab0119cb371b298ebbc04c8327dae21950e1c185c765829706596f7bfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 42,849$18,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,995.67 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 32,144$24,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,057.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 18,363$10,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,467.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 15,022$8,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,412.48 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 14,919$9,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,244.99 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 12,833$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.75 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 12,245$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,979.82 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 25c | 11,928$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,986.13 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 11,111$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.27 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 8,861$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 6,491$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,690.86 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 5,623$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Kansas City Royals | 12c | 5,089$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,469.89 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Seattle Mariners | 21c | 5,069$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.59 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 4,943$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.47 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 4,895$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.56 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 4,749$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 4,577$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 4,468$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,962$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.55 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 3,447$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.82 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,375$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kansas City Royals | 78c | 3,093$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.49 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 2,991$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.5 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 2,955$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,732$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.27 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 2,666$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.74 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,627$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.96 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 2,596$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 2,521$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.88 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 2,455$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 2,335$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 2,292$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,117$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.22 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,097$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,076$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.32 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,047$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,906$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,800$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,760$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,547$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 1,485$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.85 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…42c3backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,473$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.57 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,174$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.03 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,142$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,113$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.33 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,111$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.35 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 1,108$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.74 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,100$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.99 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 1,041$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 1,012$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.95 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.19 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 20c | 998.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 923.08$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 901.78$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 854.5$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.8 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 845.04$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.03 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 842.86$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 791.62$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.9 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 782.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 776.23$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 775.85$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.14 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…ef82backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 771.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.81 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 754.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 741.38$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.38 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 729.79$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 700$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 683.86$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.34 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 658.3$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.23 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 657.37$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.74 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 640$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 615.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 591.15$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.87 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 589.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.1 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 571.39$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 570$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 540$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 536.76$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 512.58$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 509.62$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 505$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 471.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 439.7$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 425$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 11c | 410.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.