TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaa6…42c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.55
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.3
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.16
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.92
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$64.74
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.48
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009.85
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$268.98
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104%+$268.16
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.93
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$335.72
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$626.34
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$586.57
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$633.39
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$106.73
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$124.5
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$263.44
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.48
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.66
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.84
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.61
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.66
Devils vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.