NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0495eef37e8d4afe9a8748e469ddaa16a6640a0db0bc0145cfa6a82e952f5b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,125 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Devils | 40c | 80,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 39c | 35,000$13,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,349.93 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 60c | 33,495$20,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,096.96 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Stars | 61c | 32,179$19,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,629.15 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Stars | 49c | 21,406$10,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,551.7 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Stars | 60c | 10,027$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,016.2 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Devils | 39c | 8,662$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,283.78 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Stars | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Stars | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 60c | 8,108$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.38 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Devils | 53c | 7,771$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.29 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Stars | 61c | 7,377$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Stars | 31c | 6,998$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.28 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Devils | 73c | 6,586$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.1 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Devils | 39c | 6,194$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Devils | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Stars | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars | 18c | 4,540$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.18 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Devils | 40c | 4,504$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.07 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Devils | 40c | 4,444$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.62 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 60c | 4,440$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.07 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Devils | 40c | 4,423$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.42 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 71c | 4,276$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.97 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Stars | 17c | 4,182$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Devils | 39c | 3,990$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.77 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Stars | 61c | 3,962$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 34c | 3,702$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars | 60c | 3,443$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.34 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars | 24c | 3,383$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 39c | 3,029$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.38 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Stars | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Devils | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Devils | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Devils | 39c | 2,492$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils | 36c | 2,416$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Stars | 24c | 2,239$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Devils | 39c | 2,227$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.47 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Devils | 40c | 2,030$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.91 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Devils | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stars | 17c | 1,982$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.51 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 72c | 1,952$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.73 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 61c | 1,951$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Devils | 55c | 1,730$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.59 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Stars | 61c | 1,690$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 62c | 1,644$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.19 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Devils | 39c | 1,630$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.49 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Stars | 15c | 1,600$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Stars | 30c | 1,425$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.01 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 25c | 1,396$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.76 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 37c | 1,355$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.81 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Devils | 70c | 1,328$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.01 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Devils | 78c | 1,302$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.93 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Devils | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stars | 22c | 1,204$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Stars | 41c | 1,170$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.7 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Devils | 61c | 1,136$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.42 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Stars | 42c | 1,116$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.64 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Devils | 40c | 1,114$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.66 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Devils | 39c | 1,071$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stars | 29c | 1,007$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Stars | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed Devils | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Stars | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Stars | 60c | 886.35$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.81 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stars | 61c | 833.34$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.1 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Devils | 75c | 832.71$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Stars | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Stars | 12c | 816.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Stars | 31c | 810.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Stars | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Stars | 61c | 706$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.66 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Stars | 57c | 700.14$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Stars | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…ae13backed Devils | 41c | 658.29$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…cd65backed Stars | 61c | 635$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Devils | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Devils | 40c | 607.79$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.67 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Stars | 48c | 604.69$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Devils | 51c | 556.78$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.58 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Devils | 73c | 554$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Devils | 57c | 552.79$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Stars | 60c | 540$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 13c | 539.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Stars | 18c | 530.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Stars | 25c | 524.07$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 349 | 41.3%144 W · 205 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a42…23f9backed Stars | 61c | 524$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.64 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Stars | 61c | 508.2$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…3357backed Stars | 61c | 505$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4857backed Stars | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Stars | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Stars | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Devils | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf250…de38backed Devils | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Stars | 61c | 488$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.68 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Stars | 16c | 471.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Devils | 38c | 458.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.1 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Devils | 70c | 451.73$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Starsthis page
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.