NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec93050b9f1186e4b991395b4d2600b57169e82c192b114cd3a4ffa197ed7683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Stars, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,584 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Stars | 27c | 445.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Stars | 35c | 384$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 62c | 364.84$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 62c | 306.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars | 36c | 299.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Stars | 38c | 185$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Stars | 8c | 179.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Stars | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Devils | 65c | 136.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 72c | 128.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Devils | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Stars | 37c | 116.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Devils | 64c | 106.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Devils | 62c | 86.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Devils | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Stars | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Stars | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Devils | 72c | 71.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Devils | 80c | 62.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Devils | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Stars | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…8f8cbacked Devils | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Devils | 75c | 35.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Devils | 63c | 33.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Devils | 63c | 33.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Devils | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Stars | 37c | 32.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Devils | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Stars | 37c | 28.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Devils | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Devils | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Devils | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. StarsDevils won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.