TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec66…e58f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
945
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT33660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 336 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$23.95
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.75
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.67
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.69
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.86
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.84
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.67
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.67
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.84
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52%+$22.89
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.67
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.75
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.75
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$77.48
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.24
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.2
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.21
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.2
Showing 25 of 336 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT31250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 312 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$10.74
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.78
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.68
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.17
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 312 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT24250.8%123 W · 119 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 242 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$44
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.27
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.8
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$88.14
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.61
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.61
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.68
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.65
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.63
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$44.39
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$41.03
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$42.38
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.78
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$79.86
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$41.03
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.79
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.65
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.81
Showing 25 of 242 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+86%+$20.63
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.7
Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$24
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.8
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$28.17
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$43
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed Colorado Rapids SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)backed CF Montréal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$18.22
Will AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$51
Will Torino FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.65
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$18
Will Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+194.1%+$46.59
Will Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-77.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Holstein Kiel vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will SC Preußen Münster vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed FC Augsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.09
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.